Wales

Cardiff

Official local-authority snapshot as at 2025-12-31. This page keeps live route data and local hotel evidence on one place-level surface so pressure can be read in context.

Wales Population 383,919 Supported asylum 1,418

Recent supported asylum path in Cardiff

Quarter-end place series to Dec 2025. All visible points are official quarter-end values.

1,418
1,777 1,185 592 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Dec 2022
Trend readout Dec 2025

Recent path and evidence quality

Latest move

-45 since Sept 2025

-3.1% by the latest quarter-on-quarter step.

Series span

+ 439 across the visible series

+44.8% from the first visible point to Dec 2025.

Series quality

48 official quarter points

The visible trend line is built entirely from official quarter-end supported asylum values in the local area series.

Interactive place drill-down

Switch metric and comparison frame to read Cardiff as a pressure leader, rate outlier, contingency site, or three-pathway case without leaving the page.

Shareable place lens
Cardiff currently leads Wales on supported asylum.

Pathway breakdown

The local picture only becomes legible when supported asylum, contingency use, Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population are kept distinct.

Supported asylum
1,418
Homes for Ukraine
486
Afghan programme
74
Resettlement cumulative
105

What stands out here

Pressure profile

Cardiff is carrying a real asylum-support load

1,418 people are on asylum support here, with a rate of 36.93 per 10,000 residents. 74 are in contingency accommodation.

Three-pathway load

1,978 people across the main local pathways

This combines supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population, representing 0.52% of the local population.

Hotel visibility

Public hotel evidence is still thin here

No named current hotel site is attached to this area in the starter ledger yet.

National benchmarks

These strips show where Cardiff sits in the national distribution for the most important place-level pressure measures.

Supported asylum count

National distribution across all local-authority rows.

1,418
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Rate per 10,000 residents.

36.93
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and other contingency placements.

74
low median top 10% high

Regional pressure context

Wales is highlighted so this place can be read inside the wider regional supported asylum map.

supported asylum total
North West 20,864 London 16,378 West Mids 13,499 Yorkshire 9,748 East Mids 7,829 South East 7,472 North East 7,350 East 6,715 Scotland 6,688 South West 4,499 Wales 3,353 N. Ireland 2,608
Highlighted tiles mark the focus regions. Darker tiles indicate higher values in the latest local-authority snapshot.

Editorial readout

These cards translate the data into the most defensible local claims the site can make right now.

2025-12-31 evidence frame
Volume

Cardiff is outside the top ten by volume, but still carries a material local load

Cardiff ranks 14 nationally and 1 in Wales for supported asylum count, placing it around the 96th percentile of local authorities by volume.

Intensity

Intensity is stronger than the raw count alone suggests

The supported asylum rate here is 36.93 per 10,000 residents, around the 93th percentile nationally. This matters because smaller places can carry a sharper load than bigger city totals imply.

Accommodation model

The local picture leans more toward dispersal than contingency pressure

74 people are in contingency accommodation here, around 5.2% of the supported asylum population and roughly the 71th percentile by contingency count.

Visibility

The hotel layer is still mostly invisible in public records here

No named current site or unnamed acknowledged count is attached to this area yet, which is itself a reminder that absence of public evidence is not evidence of absence.

Local route metrics

The area profile should show route composition, not force users to infer it from a single asylum count.

Asylum support

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 1,236
Initial accommodation 89
Subsistence only 19
Contingency accommodation 74
Ukraine and Afghan pathways

Other current routes in this place

Homes for Ukraine arrivals 486
Afghan programme population 74
Afghan local authority housing 25
Afghan private rented housing 49
Historical routes

Resettlement history

Resettlement cumulative total 105
UK resettlement and family reunion cumulative 105
Community sponsorship cumulative 0
Latest resettlement quarter 2021 Q3 (5)

Regional peer frame

The regional ranking matters because high-pressure areas compete for attention with their nearest peers, not just with the national top ten.

Cardiff
Current page | 1,418 supported asylum
Swansea
701 supported asylum
Newport
349 supported asylum
Rhondda Cynon Taf
152 supported asylum
Wrexham
128 supported asylum
Local reading Wales

How this place reads in context

Cardiff sits 14 nationally by supported asylum count and 1 within Wales. The raw volume is 1,418, but the rate of 36.93 per 10,000 residents gives a cleaner sense of local intensity than the headline count on its own.

Homes for Ukraine is the largest non-asylum pathway in this area at 486. That matters because the local story is not just about one route family; it is about how asylum support, humanitarian schemes, and historic resettlement stack together in one place.

Wales as a whole currently carries 3,353 people on supported asylum, with a weighted regional rate of 10.52 per 10,000 residents. This page puts Cardiff inside that wider regional pressure field instead of treating it as an isolated case.

Hotel evidence for this place

Place pages should merge live route data with the named and unnamed hotel evidence already on the public record.

Evidence gap

No public hotel evidence logged yet

That does not mean the area has no hotel use. It means the ledger has no publishable public evidence row attached yet.