Trend
-118 Latest quarter change
+645 Change across series
48 Official data points
Wakefield
713 on asylum support. Rank 41 nationally, 6 in Yorkshire and The Humber. Rate: 19.39 per 10,000 (75th percentile). 1 named hotel site. Regional provider: Mears.
Summary
Wakefield has 713 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 41 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 19.39 per 10,000 residents places it around the 75th percentile. 211 are in contingency accommodation (29.6% of total). 1 named hotel site is publicly documented. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Wakefield
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 305
Initial accommodation 183
Subsistence only 14
Contingency accommodation 211
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 287
Afghan programme 140
Resettlement cumulative 204
Population context
All pathways total 1,140
Share of local population 0.31%
Hotel evidence
1 named site publicly documented.
Ethnic composition projection
Wakefield: WBI 88.2% (2021) → 59.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2057. 80% CI: 58.4–64.5%.
Ethnic composition — Wakefield
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 3.4% (2021) → 5.6% (2051). Christian 51.8% → 8.3%.
Religion — Wakefield
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
8.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.29). 94.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Wakefield
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Wakefield is changing
-4.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.1%
Mixed 67%
White Other 81.3%
Other 60.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 65.1%
Mixed 48.6%
White Other 33.6%
Other 37.2%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.8%
Mixed 30.1%
White Other 30.9%
Other 32.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 54,403 pupils. 79.5% White British. Schools are 8.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 79.5%
White Other 5.7%
Asian 5.6%
Mixed 4.3%
Black 3.6%
Other 1.3%
What this means
Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
20.5% Minority pupils now
35.6% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
713 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
19.39 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
211 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.