Trend
+7 Latest quarter change
+268 Change across series
11 Official data points
Cumberland
515 people housed on asylum support in Cumberland
Rank 65 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.36 per 10,000 puts Cumberland in the 74th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £28M per year for this area alone.
Cumberland: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 512
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 532
Afghan programme 177
Resettlement cumulative 18
Population context
All pathways total 1,224
Share of local population 0.44%
Ethnic composition projection
Cumberland: WBI 95.1% (2021) → 84.0% (2051).
Ethnic composition - Cumberland
White British White Other Asian
Ethnic composition: Cumberland
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58%
Mixed 69.7%
White Other 73.7%
Other 63%
Homeownership rate
White British 70%
Mixed 50.6%
White Other 43.8%
Other 36.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 27.1%
Mixed 38.8%
White Other 40.4%
Other 38.5%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 38,805 pupils. 90.5% White British.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 90.5%
White Other 3.3%
Mixed 2.1%
Black 1.8%
Asian 1.7%
Other 0.6%
What this means
School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.
9.5% Minority pupils now
20.6% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
515 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
18.36 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.