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East of England

Basildon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Richard Holden
Mr Richard HoldenConservative · Basildon and Billericay

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Basildon.

352 people on asylum support in Basildon

Rank 90 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.19 per 10,000 puts Basildon in the 78th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2058. 8 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 352 people at £107 per person per day is about £13.7M a year.

What asylum costs Basildon

£7.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£900Ksubsistence payments/year
£422KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 352 people on asylum support in Basildon(0.38% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Basildon: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

338
3582391190Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20145
Jun 20144
Sept 20144
Dec 20144
Mar 20154
Jun 20154
Sept 20156
Dec 20158
Mar 20167
Jun 20164
Sept 201614
Dec 201614
Mar 201720
Jun 201719
Sept 201721
Dec 201729
Mar 201849
Jun 201850
Sept 201850
Dec 201848
Mar 201963
Jun 201955
Sept 201958
Dec 201962
Mar 202060
Jun 202061
Sept 202060
Dec 202060
Mar 202157
Jun 202150
Sept 202168
Dec 202175
Mar 2022103
Jun 2022145
Sept 2022151
Dec 2022152
Mar 2023144
Jun 2023238
Sept 2023234
Dec 2023227
Mar 2024260
Jun 2024237
Sept 2024262
Dec 2024285
Mar 2025358
Jun 2025319
Sept 2025319
Dec 2025338

Trend

+19Latest quarter change
+333Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation344
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only8
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
352
Homes for Ukraine
322
Afghan programme
36
Resettlement cumulative
4

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine322
Afghan programme36
Resettlement cumulative4

Population context

All pathways total710
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Basildon: White British 82.1% (2021) to 57.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2058. 80% CI: 56.7, 62.2%.

Ethnic composition: Basildon

024477195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 47% in 2061White Other 11% in 2061Asian 9% in 2061Black 15% in 2061Mixed 14% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Basildon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
82%
2031proj
76%
2041proj
67%
9%
9%
2051proj
57%
10%
12%
9%
2061proj
47%
11%
9%
15%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Basildon ranges from55.2% to 68.6%by 2051. That is a 13.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.9% (2021) → 7.1% (2051). Christian 49.1% → 11.9%.

Religion: Basildon

020406181%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 76% in 2051Muslim 7% in 2051Hindu 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.41). 94.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Basildon

728507293%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 38% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.4% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
other10.8% internal, 3.8% international
white other12.6% internal, 1.6% international
asian10.5% internal, 2.7% international
black11% internal, 2.1% international
mixed9.2% internal, 0.7% international
white british6.7% internal, 0.1% international

Why Basildon is changing

-7.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
-0.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Basildon on UK Demographics →