East Midlands

Bassetlaw

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Jo White
Jo WhiteLabour · Bassetlaw
197 people on asylum support in Bassetlaw

Rank 136 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 15.58 per 10,000 puts Bassetlaw in the 72nd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 4 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 197 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.7M a year.

What asylum costs Bassetlaw

£4.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£504Ksubsistence payments/year
£236KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 197 people on asylum support in Bassetlaw(0.21% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Bassetlaw: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

192
192128640Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20144
Jun 20144
Sept 20144
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Sept 20162
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Sept 20181
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20202
Jun 20201
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20221
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20221
Mar 20231
Jun 20231
Sept 20231
Mar 202416
Jun 202414
Sept 202452
Dec 202474
Mar 2025123
Jun 2025170
Sept 2025181
Dec 2025192

Trend

+11Latest quarter change
+188Change across series
35Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation193
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only4
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
197
Homes for Ukraine
299
Afghan programme
25
Resettlement cumulative
15

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine299
Afghan programme25
Resettlement cumulative15

Population context

All pathways total521
Share of local population0.41%

Ethnic composition projection

Bassetlaw: White British 92.0% (2021) to 83.0% (2051). 80% CI: 82.1, 85.4%.

Ethnic composition: Bassetlaw

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 78% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Mixed 5% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bassetlaw

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
83%
9%
2061proj
78%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Bassetlaw ranges from54.0% to 76.4%by 2051. That is a 22.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 0.3% (2051). Christian 58.5% → 10.6%.

Religion: Bassetlaw

628497193%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 95.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Bassetlaw

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 64% in 2051Foreign-born 37% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.4% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black17.3% internal, 1.9% international
asian13.8% internal, 1.7% international
other10.1% internal, 4.4% international
mixed13.5% internal, 0.9% international
white other10.5% internal, 2.2% international
white british8.1% internal, 0.2% international

Why Bassetlaw is changing

-2.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).