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South West

Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

Updated 31 Dec 2025 · Home Office
Tom Hayes
Tom Hayes Labour · Bournemouth East

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole.

450 people housed on asylum support in Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

Rank 70 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 11 per 10,000 puts Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole in the 63rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2059. 339 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £25M per year for this area alone.

What asylum costs Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

£8.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.2Msubsistence payments/year
£540KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 450 people on asylum support in Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole (0.42% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.

Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

555
766 511 255 0 Mar 2018 Dec 2025 Peak Mar 2023 Rwanda scheme Albania deal Bibby Stockholm Rwanda scrapped

Trend

-63 Latest quarter change
+544 Change across series
32 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 97
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 14
Contingency accommodation 339

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
450
Homes for Ukraine
846
Afghan programme
210
Resettlement cumulative
4

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 846
Afghan programme 210
Resettlement cumulative 4

Population context

All pathways total 1,506
Share of local population 0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole: WBI 82.4% (2021) → 56.0% (2051). White British minority by ~2059. 80% CI: 56.1–62.4%.

Ethnic composition: Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

0 22 44 66 87 % of population Census 2021 White British 56% White Other 16% Asian 12% Black 6% Mixed 6% Other 5% 2021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2021
82%
9%
2021
82%
9%
2026 proj
78%
11%
2031 proj
73%
12%
2036 proj
69%
13%
2041 proj
64%
14%
9%
2046 proj
60%
15%
11%
2051 proj
56%
16%
12%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole ranges from 62.2% to 70.2% by 2051. That is a 8pp spread.

Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 65.5% by 2051
Full demographic profile School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics. View Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole on UK Demographics →