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East Midlands

Charnwood

Updated 31 Dec 2025 · Home Office
210 people housed on asylum support in Charnwood

Rank 139 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 11.15 per 10,000 puts Charnwood in the 63rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2059. 118 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £11M per year for this area alone.

What asylum costs Charnwood

£4.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£537Ksubsistence payments/year
£252KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 210 people on asylum support in Charnwood (0.20% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.

Charnwood: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

238
270 180 90 0 Jun 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Sept 2025 Rwanda scheme Albania deal Bibby Stockholm Rwanda scrapped

Trend

-32 Latest quarter change
+235 Change across series
39 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 88
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 4
Contingency accommodation 118

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
210
Homes for Ukraine
233
Afghan programme
79
Resettlement cumulative
34

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 233
Afghan programme 79
Resettlement cumulative 34

Population context

All pathways total 522
Share of local population 0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

Charnwood: WBI 77.9% (2021) → 56.7% (2051). White British minority by ~2059. 80% CI: 55.7–60.4%.

Ethnic composition: Charnwood

0 22 45 67 89 % of population Census 2021 Illustrative White British 48% White Other 14% Asian 26% Mixed 9% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Charnwood

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
84%
10%
2021
78%
12%
2031 proj
72%
16%
2041 proj
65%
8%
19%
2051 proj
57%
11%
22%
2061 proj
48%
14%
26%
9%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Charnwood ranges from 51.7% to 64.5% by 2051. That is a 12.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 4.5% (2051). Christian 44.1% → 11.1%.

Religion: Charnwood

0 19 38 57 76 % Census 2021 Christian 11% No religion 71% Muslim 5% Hindu 10% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

13.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.45). 93.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Charnwood

8 29 50 71 92 % Census 2021 UK-born 59% Foreign-born 41% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 11.7% moved within UK, 1% arrived from abroad
black 27.7% internal, 3.8% international
white other 16.1% internal, 5.7% international
mixed 19.5% internal, 1.1% international
other 15.3% internal, 4.5% international
asian 11.4% internal, 3.3% international
white british 10.9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Charnwood is changing

-6.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.3pp
Local migration
+0.3pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profile School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics. View Charnwood on UK Demographics →