asylumstats Follow YOUR money
West Midlands

Coventry

Updated 31 Dec 2025 · Home Office
Mary Creagh
Mary Creagh Labour · Coventry East

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Coventry.

1,712 people housed on asylum support in Coventry

Rank 4 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 46.39 per 10,000 puts Coventry in the 98th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2025. 128 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £94M per year for this area alone.

What asylum costs Coventry

£33.7Mestimated hotel costs/year
£4.4Msubsistence payments/year
£2.1MLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1,712 people on asylum support in Coventry (1.60% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.

Coventry: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1,719
2,161 1,441 720 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Sept 2023 Rwanda scheme Albania deal Bibby Stockholm Rwanda scrapped

Trend

-28 Latest quarter change
+1,264 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 1,444
Initial accommodation 86
Subsistence only 54
Contingency accommodation 128

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1,712
Homes for Ukraine
746
Afghan programme
553
Resettlement cumulative
799

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 746
Afghan programme 553
Resettlement cumulative 799

Population context

All pathways total 3,011
Share of local population 0.82%

Ethnic composition projection

Coventry: WBI 55.3% (2021) → 15.0% (2051). White British minority by ~2025. 80% CI: 17.8–20.8%.

Ethnic composition: Coventry

0 18 36 54 72 % of population Census 2021 Illustrative White British 6% White Other 11% Asian 8% Black 15% Mixed 4% Other 56% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Coventry

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
67%
16%
2021
55%
10%
19%
9%
2031 proj
42%
13%
19%
13%
9%
2041 proj
28%
16%
17%
16%
19%
2051 proj
15%
15%
13%
17%
36%
2061 proj
11%
15%
56%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Coventry ranges from 36.0% to 40.5% by 2051. That is a 4.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 37.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 11.0% (2021) → 21.8% (2051). Christian 46.8% → 18.9%.

Religion: Coventry

0 14 27 41 55 % Census 2021 Christian 19% No religion 50% Muslim 22% Hindu 5% Sikh 4% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

27.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.74). 82.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Coventry

23 36 50 64 77 % Census 2021 UK-born 36% Foreign-born 64% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.9% moved within UK, 2.1% arrived from abroad
black 17.7% internal, 3.7% international
white other 14.7% internal, 5.5% international
other 13.2% internal, 4.7% international
mixed 14.3% internal, 1.6% international
asian 11% internal, 4.3% international
white british 8.6% internal, 0.3% international

Why Coventry is changing

-11.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+1.1pp
Local migration
-6pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profile School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics. View Coventry on UK Demographics →