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West Midlands

Coventry

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mary Creagh
Mary CreaghLabour · Coventry East

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Coventry.

1,700 people on asylum support in Coventry

Rank 4 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 46.61 per 10,000 puts Coventry in the 99th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2026. 66 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 97 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 1,700 people at £107 per person per day is about £66.4M a year.

What asylum costs Coventry

£38.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£4.3Msubsistence payments/year
£2.0MLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1,700 people on asylum support in Coventry(1.82% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Coventry: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1,719
2,1611,4417200Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014455
Jun 2014481
Sept 2014489
Dec 2014511
Mar 2015507
Jun 2015506
Sept 2015539
Dec 2015551
Mar 2016551
Jun 2016534
Sept 2016530
Dec 2016512
Mar 2017498
Jun 2017529
Sept 2017527
Dec 2017513
Mar 2018612
Jun 2018606
Sept 2018585
Dec 2018595
Mar 2019601
Jun 2019581
Sept 2019531
Dec 2019576
Mar 2020627
Jun 2020702
Sept 2020791
Dec 2020904
Mar 20211,002
Jun 20211,121
Sept 20211,134
Dec 20211,307
Mar 20221,368
Jun 20221,409
Sept 20221,355
Dec 20221,899
Mar 20231,941
Jun 20232,149
Sept 20232,161
Dec 20231,868
Mar 20242,020
Jun 20241,924
Sept 20242,017
Dec 20242,144
Mar 20252,001
Jun 20251,733
Sept 20251,747
Dec 20251,719

Trend

-28Latest quarter change
+1,264Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation1,459
Initial accommodation78
Subsistence only66
Contingency accommodation97

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1,700
Homes for Ukraine
778
Afghan programme
556
Resettlement cumulative
799

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine778
Afghan programme556
Resettlement cumulative799

Population context

All pathways total3,034
Share of local population0.83%

Ethnic composition projection

Coventry: White British 55.3% (2021) to 24.6% (2051). White British minority by ~2026. 80% CI: 23.2, 27.6%.

Ethnic composition: Coventry

018365472% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 17% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 21% in 2061Black 21% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 18% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Coventry

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
67%
16%
2021
55%
10%
19%
9%
2031proj
45%
12%
20%
12%
2041proj
34%
14%
21%
15%
9%
2051proj
25%
15%
22%
19%
13%
2061proj
17%
14%
21%
21%
9%
18%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Coventry ranges from36.0% to 40.5%by 2051. That is a 4.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 37.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 11.0% (2021) → 21.8% (2051). Christian 46.8% → 18.9%.

Religion: Coventry

014274155%Census 2021Christian 19% in 2051No religion 50% in 2051Muslim 22% in 2051Hindu 5% in 2051Sikh 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

27.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.74). 82.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Coventry

2336506477%Census 2021UK-born 36% in 2051Foreign-born 64% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.9% moved within UK, 2.1% arrived from abroad
black17.7% internal, 3.7% international
white other14.7% internal, 5.5% international
other13.2% internal, 4.7% international
mixed14.3% internal, 1.6% international
asian11% internal, 4.3% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.3% international

Why Coventry is changing

-11.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+1.1pp
Local migration
-6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Coventry on UK Demographics →