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East of England

Dacorum

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
274 people on asylum support in Dacorum

Rank 107 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.88 per 10,000 puts Dacorum in the 75th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2057. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 222 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 274 people at £107 per person per day is about £10.7M a year.

What asylum costs Dacorum

£6.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£701Ksubsistence payments/year
£329KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 274 people on asylum support in Dacorum(0.29% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Dacorum: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

464
6154102050Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20144
Dec 20144
Mar 20154
Jun 20154
Sept 20154
Dec 20154
Mar 20164
Jun 20165
Sept 20165
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Dec 20182
Mar 20194
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20203
Dec 20204
Mar 20215
Jun 20217
Sept 20217
Dec 202127
Mar 202224
Jun 202227
Sept 202249
Dec 2022541
Mar 2023536
Jun 2023538
Sept 2023598
Dec 2023569
Mar 2024491
Jun 2024418
Sept 2024615
Dec 2024572
Mar 2025498
Jun 2025504
Sept 2025545
Dec 2025464

Trend

-81Latest quarter change
+463Change across series
45Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation50
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation222

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
274
Homes for Ukraine
431
Afghan programme
72
Resettlement cumulative
34

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine431
Afghan programme72
Resettlement cumulative34

Population context

All pathways total777
Share of local population0.48%

Ethnic composition projection

Dacorum: White British 78.7% (2021) to 55.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2057. 80% CI: 55.1, 59.9%.

Ethnic composition: Dacorum

023456891% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 46% in 2061White Other 16% in 2061Asian 9% in 2061Black 6% in 2061Mixed 17% in 2061Other 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Dacorum

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
86%
2021
79%
8%
2031proj
72%
10%
2041proj
65%
12%
2051proj
55%
14%
9%
12%
2061proj
46%
16%
9%
17%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Dacorum ranges from49.5% to 64.0%by 2051. That is a 14.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 6.5% (2051). Christian 49.4% → 15.7%.

Religion: Dacorum

020395979%Census 2021Christian 16% in 2051No religion 74% in 2051Muslim 6% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

14.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.46). 93.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Dacorum

930507091%Census 2021UK-born 43% in 2051Foreign-born 57% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.5% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
white other13.9% internal, 2.4% international
other12.8% internal, 3.5% international
mixed11.8% internal, 0.6% international
black11.2% internal, 1.2% international
asian9.5% internal, 1.9% international
white british7.6% internal, 0.3% international

Why Dacorum is changing

-7.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.5pp
Local migration
-0.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Dacorum on UK Demographics →