asylumstatsFollow the money
North East

Darlington

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Lola McEvoy
Lola McEvoyLabour · Darlington
214 people on asylum support in Darlington

Rank 125 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.87 per 10,000 puts Darlington in the 80th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 214 people at £107 per person per day is about £8.4M a year.

What asylum costs Darlington

£4.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£547Ksubsistence payments/year
£257KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 214 people on asylum support in Darlington(0.23% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Darlington: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

226
232155770Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20142
Dec 20142
Mar 20152
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Sept 20161
Dec 201626
Mar 201723
Jun 201726
Sept 201746
Dec 201765
Mar 201877
Jun 201895
Sept 201894
Dec 201888
Mar 201997
Jun 201997
Sept 201987
Dec 201988
Mar 2020209
Jun 2020216
Sept 2020177
Dec 2020158
Mar 2021141
Jun 2021120
Sept 202188
Dec 202184
Mar 202291
Jun 202297
Sept 202294
Dec 202290
Mar 202390
Jun 2023121
Sept 2023171
Dec 2023154
Mar 2024171
Jun 2024209
Sept 2024230
Dec 2024228
Mar 2025223
Jun 2025232
Sept 2025220
Dec 2025226

Trend

+6Latest quarter change
+224Change across series
43Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation211
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
214
Homes for Ukraine
166
Afghan programme
22
Resettlement cumulative
61

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine166
Afghan programme22
Resettlement cumulative61

Population context

All pathways total402
Share of local population0.35%

Ethnic composition projection

Darlington: White British 90.3% (2021) to 74.9% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Darlington

025497499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 66% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Asian 7% in 2061Mixed 7% in 2061Other 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Darlington

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
90%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
82%
2051proj
75%
9%
2061proj
66%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Darlington ranges from51.6% to 73.6%by 2051. That is a 22pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.8% (2021) → 5.0% (2051). Christian 54.8% → 11.2%.

Religion: Darlington

022446687%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 82% in 2051Muslim 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 95.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Darlington

326507497%Census 2021UK-born 60% in 2051Foreign-born 40% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black18% internal, 6.6% international
white other16.1% internal, 2.5% international
other11.5% internal, 3.1% international
asian10% internal, 4.3% international
mixed12.5% internal, 0.9% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Darlington is changing

-3.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Darlington on UK Demographics →