asylumstatsFollow the money
East Midlands

Derby

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Catherine Atkinson
Catherine AtkinsonLabour · Derby North

7 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Derby.

1,127 people on asylum support in Derby

Rank 15 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 40.93 per 10,000 puts Derby in the 96th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2037. 11 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 140 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 1,127 people at £107 per person per day is about £44.0M a year.

What asylum costs Derby

£25.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£2.9Msubsistence payments/year
£1.4MLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1,127 people on asylum support in Derby(1.21% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Derby: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1,215
1,3769174590Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014458
Jun 2014479
Sept 2014543
Dec 2014583
Mar 2015597
Jun 2015605
Sept 2015683
Dec 2015718
Mar 2016745
Jun 2016741
Sept 2016742
Dec 2016714
Mar 2017745
Jun 2017752
Sept 2017707
Dec 2017710
Mar 2018787
Jun 2018860
Sept 2018939
Dec 2018873
Mar 2019919
Jun 2019854
Sept 2019796
Dec 2019771
Mar 2020819
Jun 2020894
Sept 2020876
Dec 2020859
Mar 2021805
Jun 2021765
Sept 2021736
Dec 2021794
Mar 2022802
Jun 2022833
Sept 2022770
Dec 20221,236
Mar 20231,349
Jun 20231,289
Sept 20231,376
Dec 20231,265
Mar 20241,199
Jun 20241,090
Sept 20241,347
Dec 20241,331
Mar 20251,288
Jun 20251,325
Sept 20251,335
Dec 20251,215

Trend

-120Latest quarter change
+757Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation794
Initial accommodation182
Subsistence only11
Contingency accommodation140

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1,127
Homes for Ukraine
284
Afghan programme
31
Resettlement cumulative
4

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine284
Afghan programme31
Resettlement cumulative4

Population context

All pathways total1,442
Share of local population0.52%

Ethnic composition projection

Derby: White British 66.2% (2021) to 34.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2037. 80% CI: 33.1, 38.5%.

Ethnic composition: Derby

020406080% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 24% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 24% in 2061Black 8% in 2061Mixed 13% in 2061Other 16% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Derby

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
75%
13%
2021
66%
16%
2031proj
57%
10%
19%
2041proj
46%
12%
22%
2051proj
34%
13%
24%
10%
12%
2061proj
24%
14%
24%
8%
13%
16%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Derby ranges from43.7% to 51.3%by 2051. That is a 7.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 46.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 11.9% (2021) → 23.7% (2051). Christian 42.9% → 12.2%.

Religion: Derby

016324863%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 58% in 2051Muslim 24% in 2051Sikh 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

19.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.62). 87% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Derby

1532506885%Census 2021UK-born 47% in 2051Foreign-born 53% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Low foreign-born share with significant ethnic diversity suggests second/third-generation growth is the primary driver. Less sensitive to immigration policy changes.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
white other12.5% internal, 2.9% international
black11.8% internal, 2.6% international
other9.9% internal, 2.3% international
mixed11.1% internal, 0.7% international
asian8% internal, 1.9% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Derby is changing

-9.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.4pp
Local migration
-3.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Derby on UK Demographics →