asylumstatsFollow the money
West Midlands

Dudley

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sonia Kumar
Sonia KumarLabour · Dudley
611 people on asylum support in Dudley

Rank 49 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.3 per 10,000 puts Dudley in the 78th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2057. 19 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 611 people at £107 per person per day is about £23.9M a year.

What asylum costs Dudley

£13.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.6Msubsistence payments/year
£733KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 611 people on asylum support in Dudley(0.65% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Dudley: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

713
7224812410Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014172
Jun 2014186
Sept 2014205
Dec 2014219
Mar 2015216
Jun 2015226
Sept 2015228
Dec 2015230
Mar 2016224
Jun 2016232
Sept 2016232
Dec 2016243
Mar 2017246
Jun 2017236
Sept 2017247
Dec 2017247
Mar 2018269
Jun 2018264
Sept 2018254
Dec 2018260
Mar 2019251
Jun 2019250
Sept 2019258
Dec 2019258
Mar 2020260
Jun 2020274
Sept 2020289
Dec 2020306
Mar 2021303
Jun 2021324
Sept 2021356
Dec 2021398
Mar 2022434
Jun 2022448
Sept 2022446
Dec 2022449
Mar 2023471
Jun 2023650
Sept 2023645
Dec 2023663
Mar 2024670
Jun 2024646
Sept 2024659
Dec 2024634
Mar 2025676
Jun 2025669
Sept 2025722
Dec 2025713

Trend

-9Latest quarter change
+541Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation592
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only19
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
611
Homes for Ukraine
170
Afghan programme
149
Resettlement cumulative
95

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine170
Afghan programme149
Resettlement cumulative95

Population context

All pathways total930
Share of local population0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

Dudley: White British 82.4% (2021) to 56.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2057. 80% CI: 56, 60.8%.

Ethnic composition: Dudley

023477094% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 46% in 2061White Other 6% in 2061Asian 20% in 2061Black 7% in 2061Mixed 13% in 2061Other 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Dudley

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
89%
2021
82%
8%
2031proj
76%
11%
2041proj
67%
14%
2051proj
57%
17%
9%
2061proj
46%
20%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Dudley ranges from59.8% to 69.4%by 2051. That is a 9.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 63.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 6.5% (2021) → 10.1% (2051). Christian 52.2% → 10.3%.

Religion: Dudley

221416181%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 76% in 2051Muslim 10% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 95.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Dudley

326507497%Census 2021UK-born 72% in 2051Foreign-born 28% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.5% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
white other12% internal, 2.3% international
black10.1% internal, 1.6% international
other9.3% internal, 2% international
mixed9.5% internal, 0.3% international
asian6% internal, 1.5% international
white british6.1% internal, 0.1% international

Why Dudley is changing

-6.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
+0.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Dudley on UK Demographics →