asylumstatsFollow the money
North East

Hartlepool

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Jonathan Brash
Mr Jonathan BrashLabour · Hartlepool
379 people on asylum support in Hartlepool

Rank 81 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 38.03 per 10,000 puts Hartlepool in the 95th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. Accommodation and support for 379 people at £107 per person per day is about £14.8M a year.

What asylum costs Hartlepool

£8.6Mestimated hotel costs/year
£969Ksubsistence payments/year
£455KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 379 people on asylum support in Hartlepool(0.41% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Hartlepool: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

405
4623081540Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014133
Jun 2014122
Sept 2014123
Dec 2014136
Mar 2015134
Jun 2015135
Sept 2015128
Dec 2015134
Mar 2016139
Jun 2016158
Sept 2016181
Dec 2016192
Mar 2017182
Jun 2017185
Sept 2017188
Dec 2017227
Mar 2018263
Jun 2018250
Sept 2018263
Dec 2018298
Mar 2019310
Jun 2019309
Sept 2019308
Dec 2019294
Mar 2020279
Jun 2020302
Sept 2020340
Dec 2020355
Mar 2021354
Jun 2021361
Sept 2021348
Dec 2021365
Mar 2022386
Jun 2022397
Sept 2022401
Dec 2022379
Mar 2023381
Jun 2023455
Sept 2023458
Dec 2023399
Mar 2024421
Jun 2024419
Sept 2024460
Dec 2024462
Mar 2025443
Jun 2025440
Sept 2025431
Dec 2025405

Trend

-26Latest quarter change
+272Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation379
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
379
Homes for Ukraine
110
Afghan programme
182
Resettlement cumulative
218

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine110
Afghan programme182
Resettlement cumulative218

Population context

All pathways total671
Share of local population0.67%

Ethnic composition projection

Hartlepool: White British 95.0% (2021) to 87.2% (2051). 80% CI: 86.6, 89%.

Ethnic composition: Hartlepool

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 82% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 4% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Hartlepool

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
95%
2031proj
93%
2041proj
91%
2051proj
87%
2061proj
82%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Hartlepool ranges from52.9% to 78.6%by 2051. That is a 25.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.4% (2021) → 2.6% (2051). Christian 55.4% → 8.4%.

Religion: Hartlepool

326487193%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.15). 97.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Hartlepool

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 75% in 2051Foreign-born 25% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.5% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black25.6% internal, 5.8% international
mixed15.6% internal, 1.8% international
other11% internal, 4.5% international
white other10.5% internal, 4.6% international
asian9.3% internal, 2.1% international
white british8.3% internal, 0.1% international

Why Hartlepool is changing

-1.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Hartlepool on UK Demographics →