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East Midlands

Mansfield

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Steve Yemm
Steve YemmLabour · Mansfield
192 people on asylum support in Mansfield

Rank 138 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.89 per 10,000 puts Mansfield in the 76th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 192 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.5M a year.

What asylum costs Mansfield

£4.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£491Ksubsistence payments/year
£230KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 192 people on asylum support in Mansfield(0.21% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Mansfield: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

170
173115580Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Dec 20162
Mar 20173
Jun 20171
Sept 20173
Dec 20173
Mar 20183
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 202241
Mar 202339
Jun 202343
Sept 202361
Dec 202349
Mar 202417
Jun 202446
Sept 202464
Dec 202483
Mar 2025137
Jun 2025169
Sept 2025173
Dec 2025170

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+168Change across series
29Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation187
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
192
Homes for Ukraine
176
Afghan programme
46
Resettlement cumulative
49

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine176
Afghan programme46
Resettlement cumulative49

Population context

All pathways total414
Share of local population0.36%

Ethnic composition projection

Mansfield: White British 87.3% (2021) to 68.2% (2051). 80% CI: 67.5, 72.4%.

Ethnic composition: Mansfield

025497498% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 59% in 2061White Other 18% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Mansfield

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
87%
2031proj
83%
10%
2041proj
76%
13%
2051proj
68%
16%
2061proj
59%
18%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Mansfield ranges from49.8% to 70.1%by 2051. That is a 20.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.2% (2021) → 4.9% (2051). Christian 49.2% → 10.5%.

Religion: Mansfield

022446688%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 83% in 2051Muslim 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.3). 92.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Mansfield

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 51% in 2051Foreign-born 49% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.9% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
black18.2% internal, 3.3% international
other14.5% internal, 5.5% international
asian13.1% internal, 6.1% international
white other14.6% internal, 3% international
mixed12.5% internal, 1.4% international
white british7% internal, 0.1% international

Why Mansfield is changing

-5.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+1.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Mansfield on UK Demographics →