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South East

Mid Sussex

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Alison Bennett
Alison BennettLiberal Democrats · Mid Sussex

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Mid Sussex.

326 people on asylum support in Mid Sussex

Rank 94 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 19.93 per 10,000 puts Mid Sussex in the 82nd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 321 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 326 people at £107 per person per day is about £12.7M a year.

What asylum costs Mid Sussex

£7.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£834Ksubsistence payments/year
£391KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 326 people on asylum support in Mid Sussex(0.35% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Mid Sussex: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

450
6214142070Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20145
Jun 20145
Sept 20141
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Dec 20173
Mar 20187
Jun 20187
Sept 20187
Dec 20183
Mar 20194
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20201
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 2021151
Mar 202263
Jun 202239
Sept 202246
Dec 2022421
Mar 2023414
Jun 2023388
Sept 2023368
Dec 2023311
Mar 2024195
Jun 2024317
Sept 2024621
Dec 2024533
Mar 2025519
Jun 2025482
Sept 2025588
Dec 2025450

Trend

-138Latest quarter change
+445Change across series
41Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation4
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation321

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
326
Homes for Ukraine
599
Afghan programme
125
Resettlement cumulative
42

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine599
Afghan programme125
Resettlement cumulative42

Population context

All pathways total1,050
Share of local population0.64%

Ethnic composition projection

Mid Sussex: White British 85.9% (2021) to 72.9% (2051). 80% CI: 72.4, 76.2%.

Ethnic composition: Mid Sussex

024487195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 66% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 13% in 2061Other 3% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Mid Sussex

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
86%
2031proj
83%
2041proj
78%
8%
2051proj
73%
9%
9%
2061proj
66%
9%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Mid Sussex ranges from54.8% to 72.2%by 2051. That is a 17.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.3% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 51.2% → 10.8%.

Religion: Mid Sussex

627476889%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.33). 96% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Mid Sussex

728507293%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 39% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.2% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
other12.8% internal, 4.2% international
white other13.3% internal, 2.8% international
black14.1% internal, 1.7% international
asian10.9% internal, 3.9% international
mixed12% internal, 1% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.4% international

Why Mid Sussex is changing

-4.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+2.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Mid Sussex on UK Demographics →