asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Milton Keynes

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Emily Darlington
Emily DarlingtonLabour · Milton Keynes Central

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Milton Keynes.

443 people on asylum support in Milton Keynes

Rank 68 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 14.34 per 10,000 puts Milton Keynes in the 70th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2033. 11 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 443 people at £107 per person per day is about £17.3M a year.

What asylum costs Milton Keynes

£10.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.1Msubsistence payments/year
£532KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 443 people on asylum support in Milton Keynes(0.47% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Milton Keynes: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

387
4222811410Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20149
Jun 201411
Sept 201413
Dec 20148
Mar 20158
Jun 201517
Sept 201517
Dec 201517
Mar 201611
Jun 201611
Sept 201611
Dec 201611
Mar 201713
Jun 201711
Sept 201715
Dec 201714
Mar 201814
Jun 201814
Sept 201811
Dec 201812
Mar 201912
Jun 201910
Sept 201910
Dec 20196
Mar 202010
Jun 202010
Sept 202012
Dec 20208
Mar 20218
Jun 20219
Sept 202113
Dec 202121
Mar 202220
Jun 202220
Sept 202228
Dec 202277
Mar 2023147
Jun 2023198
Sept 2023203
Dec 2023196
Mar 2024140
Jun 2024132
Sept 2024129
Dec 2024422
Mar 2025239
Jun 2025319
Sept 2025334
Dec 2025387

Trend

+53Latest quarter change
+378Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation432
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only11
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
443
Homes for Ukraine
632
Afghan programme
157
Resettlement cumulative
85

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine632
Afghan programme157
Resettlement cumulative85

Population context

All pathways total1,232
Share of local population0.4%

Ethnic composition projection

Milton Keynes: White British 62.2% (2021) to 31.2% (2051). White British minority by ~2033. 80% CI: 30, 34.5%.

Ethnic composition: Milton Keynes

020395979% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 23% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Asian 22% in 2061Black 23% in 2061Mixed 11% in 2061Other 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Milton Keynes

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
74%
9%
8%
2021
62%
10%
12%
10%
2031proj
52%
12%
15%
13%
2041proj
42%
13%
18%
16%
2051proj
31%
13%
20%
20%
9%
2061proj
23%
13%
22%
23%
11%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Milton Keynes ranges from41.1% to 47.4%by 2051. That is a 6.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 43.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 7.6% (2021) → 17.4% (2051). Christian 45.4% → 16.9%.

Religion: Milton Keynes

014274155%Census 2021Christian 17% in 2051No religion 50% in 2051Muslim 17% in 2051Hindu 14% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

25.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.68). 87.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Milton Keynes

2135506579%Census 2021UK-born 38% in 2051Foreign-born 62% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.9% moved within UK, 1.1% arrived from abroad
white other15.9% internal, 3.2% international
other12.5% internal, 3.9% international
asian10.8% internal, 2.8% international
mixed11.6% internal, 1% international
black10.8% internal, 1.6% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.3% international

Why Milton Keynes is changing

-11.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.5pp
Local migration
-5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Milton Keynes on UK Demographics →