Wales

Newport

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Jessica Morden
Jessica MordenLabour · Newport East

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Newport.

306 people on asylum support in Newport

Rank 100 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.15 per 10,000 puts Newport in the 78th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 306 people at £107 per person per day is about £12.0M a year.

What asylum costs Newport

£6.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£783Ksubsistence payments/year
£367KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 306 people on asylum support in Newport(0.33% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Newport: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

349
5763841920Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2018Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014343
Jun 2014391
Sept 2014426
Dec 2014435
Mar 2015434
Jun 2015459
Sept 2015461
Dec 2015464
Mar 2016487
Jun 2016498
Sept 2016512
Dec 2016519
Mar 2017527
Jun 2017516
Sept 2017529
Dec 2017529
Mar 2018573
Jun 2018576
Sept 2018565
Dec 2018569
Mar 2019555
Jun 2019542
Sept 2019534
Dec 2019500
Mar 2020520
Jun 2020518
Sept 2020512
Dec 2020493
Mar 2021474
Jun 2021418
Sept 2021379
Dec 2021400
Mar 2022406
Jun 2022458
Sept 2022443
Dec 2022437
Mar 2023409
Jun 2023436
Sept 2023424
Dec 2023353
Mar 2024413
Jun 2024402
Sept 2024412
Dec 2024386
Mar 2025408
Jun 2025367
Sept 2025360
Dec 2025349

Trend

-11Latest quarter change
+6Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation301
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
306
Homes for Ukraine
190
Afghan programme
11
Resettlement cumulative
128

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine190
Afghan programme11
Resettlement cumulative128

Population context

All pathways total507
Share of local population0.3%

Ethnic composition projection

Newport: White British 80.4% (2021) to 61.5% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Newport

023466992% of populationCensus 2021White British 62% in 2051White Other 9% in 2051Asian 14% in 2051Black 5% in 2051Mixed 6% in 2051Other 5% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Newport

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
87%
2021
80%
2026proj
77%
9%
2031proj
74%
10%
2036proj
71%
11%
2041proj
68%
8%
12%
2046proj
64%
9%
13%
2051proj
62%
9%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 7.5% (2021) → 13.5% (2051). Christian 45.3% → 10.3%.

Religion: Newport

221405978%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 73% in 2051Muslim 13% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

12.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.43). 93.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Newport

729507193%Census 2021UK-born 61% in 2051Foreign-born 39% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Newport is changing

-6.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.6pp
Local migration
+0.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).