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Wales

Newport

Updated 31 Dec 2025 · Home Office
Jessica Morden
Jessica Morden Labour · Newport East

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Newport.

344 people housed on asylum support in Newport

Rank 93 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 20.49 per 10,000 puts Newport in the 81st percentile. That means this area carries more than most. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £19M per year for this area alone.

What asylum costs Newport

£6.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£880Ksubsistence payments/year
£413KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 344 people on asylum support in Newport (0.32% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.

Newport: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

349
576 384 192 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Jun 2018 Rwanda scheme Albania deal Bibby Stockholm Rwanda scrapped

Trend

-11 Latest quarter change
+6 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 340
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 4
Contingency accommodation 0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
344
Homes for Ukraine
188
Afghan programme
11
Resettlement cumulative
128

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 188
Afghan programme 11
Resettlement cumulative 128

Population context

All pathways total 543
Share of local population 0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Newport: WBI 80.4% (2021) → 61.5% (2051). 80% CI: 41.8–49.4%.

Ethnic composition: Newport

0 23 46 69 92 % of population Census 2021 White British 62% White Other 9% Asian 14% Black 5% Mixed 6% Other 5% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Newport

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
87%
2021
80%
2026 proj
77%
9%
2031 proj
74%
10%
2036 proj
71%
11%
2041 proj
68%
8%
12%
2046 proj
64%
9%
13%
2051 proj
62%
9%
14%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 7.5% (2021) → 13.5% (2051). Christian 45.3% → 10.3%.

Religion: Newport

2 21 40 59 78 % Census 2021 Christian 10% No religion 73% Muslim 13% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

12.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.43). 93.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Newport

7 29 50 71 93 % Census 2021 UK-born 61% Foreign-born 39% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Newport is changing

-6.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.6pp
Local migration
+0.3pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profile School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics. View Newport on UK Demographics →