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North East

North Tyneside

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Kirsty Blackman
Kirsty BlackmanSNP · Aberdeen North

81 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping North Tyneside.

436 people on asylum support in North Tyneside

Rank 70 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 20.24 per 10,000 puts North Tyneside in the 82nd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 436 people at £107 per person per day is about £17.0M a year.

What asylum costs North Tyneside

£9.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.1Msubsistence payments/year
£523KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 436 people on asylum support in North Tyneside(0.47% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

North Tyneside: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

444
4663111550Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201487
Jun 2014100
Sept 201495
Dec 2014113
Mar 2015102
Jun 2015107
Sept 2015110
Dec 2015114
Mar 2016120
Jun 2016126
Sept 2016125
Dec 2016133
Mar 2017133
Jun 2017128
Sept 2017117
Dec 2017152
Mar 2018178
Jun 2018203
Sept 2018230
Dec 2018251
Mar 2019316
Jun 2019324
Sept 2019313
Dec 2019269
Mar 2020245
Jun 2020243
Sept 2020262
Dec 2020277
Mar 2021298
Jun 2021301
Sept 2021289
Dec 2021300
Mar 2022299
Jun 2022315
Sept 2022302
Dec 2022298
Mar 2023273
Jun 2023356
Sept 2023371
Dec 2023341
Mar 2024369
Jun 2024361
Sept 2024443
Dec 2024444
Mar 2025425
Jun 2025466
Sept 2025453
Dec 2025444

Trend

-9Latest quarter change
+357Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation431
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
436
Homes for Ukraine
362
Afghan programme
65
Resettlement cumulative
59

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine362
Afghan programme65
Resettlement cumulative59

Population context

All pathways total863
Share of local population0.4%

Ethnic composition projection

North Tyneside: White British 92.5% (2021) to 82.1% (2051). 80% CI: 82.1, 85%.

Ethnic composition: North Tyneside

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 76% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 8% in 2061Other 3% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: North Tyneside

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
82%
2061proj
76%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in North Tyneside ranges from65.7% to 81.8%by 2051. That is a 16.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 71.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.3% (2021) → 2.2% (2051). Christian 48.9% → 7.8%.

Religion: North Tyneside

326487194%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 89% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: North Tyneside

1255075100%Census 2021UK-born 79% in 2051Foreign-born 21% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.5% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
other12.8% internal, 6.2% international
black13.9% internal, 3.8% international
white other12.6% internal, 3.2% international
asian10.1% internal, 2% international
mixed9.9% internal, 0.8% international
white british7.2% internal, 0.2% international

Why North Tyneside is changing

-2.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View North Tyneside on UK Demographics →