West Midlands

Nuneaton and Bedworth

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Rachel Taylor
Rachel TaylorLabour · North Warwickshire and Bedworth

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Nuneaton and Bedworth.

318 people on asylum support in Nuneaton and Bedworth

Rank 96 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 22.08 per 10,000 puts Nuneaton and Bedworth in the 84th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2060. 4 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 318 people at £107 per person per day is about £12.4M a year.

What asylum costs Nuneaton and Bedworth

£7.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£813Ksubsistence payments/year
£382KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 318 people on asylum support in Nuneaton and Bedworth(0.34% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Nuneaton and Bedworth: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

301
3012011000Jun 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Jun 20152
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161
Mar 20171
Mar 20181
Dec 20181
Mar 20193
Jun 20193
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20201
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Sept 20211
Jun 20236
Sept 202316
Dec 202329
Mar 202448
Jun 202460
Sept 202498
Dec 2024168
Mar 2025237
Jun 2025282
Sept 2025289
Dec 2025301

Trend

+12Latest quarter change
+300Change across series
34Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation314
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only4
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
318
Homes for Ukraine
194
Afghan programme
57
Resettlement cumulative
27

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine194
Afghan programme57
Resettlement cumulative27

Population context

All pathways total569
Share of local population0.4%

Ethnic composition projection

Nuneaton and Bedworth: White British 81.8% (2021) to 59.3% (2051). White British minority by ~2060. 80% CI: 57.9, 63.3%.

Ethnic composition: Nuneaton and Bedworth

023477094% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 49% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 12% in 2061Black 7% in 2061Mixed 11% in 2061Other 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Nuneaton and Bedworth

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
89%
2021
82%
8%
2031proj
76%
9%
2041proj
68%
10%
11%
2051proj
59%
12%
12%
2061proj
49%
14%
12%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Nuneaton and Bedworth ranges from49.6% to 66.2%by 2051. That is a 16.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.1% (2021) → 3.3% (2051). Christian 51.2% → 11.3%.

Religion: Nuneaton and Bedworth

021416283%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 78% in 2051Muslim 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 92.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Nuneaton and Bedworth

728507294%Census 2021UK-born 49% in 2051Foreign-born 51% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.8% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black16.2% internal, 1.9% international
white other12.5% internal, 2.1% international
other10.8% internal, 3.5% international
mixed10.1% internal, 0.9% international
asian8.8% internal, 1.8% international
white british7.1% internal, 0.1% international

Why Nuneaton and Bedworth is changing

-7.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
0pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).