Trend
+12 Latest quarter change
+300 Change across series
34 Official data points
Nuneaton and Bedworth
Rachel Taylor
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Nuneaton and Bedworth.
310 people housed on asylum support in Nuneaton and Bedworth
Rank 102 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 21.9 per 10,000 puts Nuneaton and Bedworth in the 83rd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2049. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £17M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Nuneaton and Bedworth
£6.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£793Ksubsistence payments/year
£372KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 310 people on asylum support in Nuneaton and Bedworth (0.29% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Nuneaton and Bedworth: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 303
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 7
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 188
Afghan programme 57
Resettlement cumulative 27
Population context
All pathways total 555
Share of local population 0.39%
Ethnic composition projection
Nuneaton and Bedworth: WBI 81.8% (2021) → 47.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2049. 80% CI: 51.9–56.4%.
Ethnic composition: Nuneaton and Bedworth
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Nuneaton and Bedworth
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Nuneaton and Bedworth ranges from 49.6% to 66.2% by 2051. That is a 16.6pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.7% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 3.1% (2021) → 3.3% (2051). Christian 51.2% → 11.3%.
Religion: Nuneaton and Bedworth
Christian No religion Muslim
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
11.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 92.6% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Nuneaton and Bedworth
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 7.8% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black 16.2% internal, 1.9% international
white other 12.5% internal, 2.1% international
other 10.8% internal, 3.5% international
mixed 10.1% internal, 0.9% international
asian 8.8% internal, 1.8% international
white british 7.1% internal, 0.1% international
Why Nuneaton and Bedworth is changing
-7.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Nuneaton and Bedworth on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.1%
Mixed 68.1%
White Other 80.3%
Other 65.6%
Homeownership rate
White British 70.1%
Mixed 49.9%
White Other 50.8%
Other 60.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.7%
Mixed 29.4%
White Other 36%
Other 30.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
310 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
21.9 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.