asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Oxford

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Anneliese Dodds
Anneliese DoddsLabour (Co-op) · Oxford East

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Oxford.

184 people on asylum support in Oxford

Rank 144 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 11.09 per 10,000 puts Oxford in the 63rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2024. 14 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 140 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 184 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.2M a year.

What asylum costs Oxford

£4.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£471Ksubsistence payments/year
£221KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 184 people on asylum support in Oxford(0.20% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Oxford: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

277
293195980Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20146
Jun 201411
Sept 201410
Dec 201411
Mar 201510
Jun 201512
Sept 20157
Dec 201510
Mar 20167
Jun 20168
Sept 20169
Dec 20167
Mar 20177
Jun 20174
Sept 20176
Dec 20173
Mar 20187
Jun 20187
Sept 20188
Dec 20188
Mar 20198
Jun 20199
Sept 201910
Dec 201911
Mar 202010
Jun 202014
Sept 202018
Dec 202021
Mar 202129
Jun 202135
Sept 202138
Dec 202139
Mar 202244
Jun 202254
Sept 202252
Dec 2022226
Mar 2023272
Jun 2023277
Sept 2023293
Dec 2023252
Mar 2024255
Jun 2024223
Sept 2024245
Dec 2024266
Mar 2025246
Jun 2025214
Sept 2025284
Dec 2025277

Trend

-7Latest quarter change
+271Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation30
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only14
Contingency accommodation140

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
184
Homes for Ukraine
495
Afghan programme
135
Resettlement cumulative
195

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine495
Afghan programme135
Resettlement cumulative195

Population context

All pathways total814
Share of local population0.49%

Ethnic composition projection

Oxford: White British 53.5% (2021) to 23.7% (2051). White British minority by ~2024. 80% CI: 21.4, 28%.

Ethnic composition: Oxford

017345169% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 16% in 2061White Other 16% in 2061Asian 24% in 2061Black 6% in 2061Mixed 15% in 2061Other 22% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Oxford

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
64%
14%
12%
2021
53%
17%
15%
2031proj
43%
19%
19%
2041proj
33%
19%
22%
10%
10%
2051proj
24%
18%
23%
13%
16%
2061proj
16%
16%
24%
15%
22%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Oxford ranges from33.3% to 40.4%by 2051. That is a 7.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 36.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 9.7% (2021) → 16.6% (2051). Christian 42.3% → 17.4%.

Religion: Oxford

519344963%Census 2021Christian 17% in 2051No religion 58% in 2051Muslim 17% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

35% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.75). 81.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Oxford

2437506376%Census 2021UK-born 29% in 2051Foreign-born 71% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 17.3% moved within UK, 4.1% arrived from abroad
white other19% internal, 9.4% international
other18.6% internal, 5.8% international
mixed18.6% internal, 3.8% international
asian13.8% internal, 8.4% international
white british17.8% internal, 1% international
black14.2% internal, 4% international

Why Oxford is changing

-10.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+1.3pp
Local migration
-5.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Oxford on UK Demographics →