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North East

Redcar and Cleveland

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Luke Myer
Luke MyerLabour · Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Redcar and Cleveland.

243 people on asylum support in Redcar and Cleveland

Rank 117 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 17.41 per 10,000 puts Redcar and Cleveland in the 76th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 243 people at £107 per person per day is about £9.5M a year.

What asylum costs Redcar and Cleveland

£5.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£621Ksubsistence payments/year
£292KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 243 people on asylum support in Redcar and Cleveland(0.26% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Redcar and Cleveland: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

260
264176880Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20143
Jun 20143
Sept 20142
Dec 20142
Mar 20152
Jun 20157
Sept 20159
Dec 201510
Mar 201614
Jun 201645
Sept 201646
Dec 201643
Mar 201744
Jun 201742
Sept 201755
Dec 201766
Mar 201879
Jun 201878
Sept 201873
Dec 201879
Mar 201976
Jun 2019101
Sept 2019104
Dec 2019115
Mar 2020110
Jun 2020112
Sept 2020111
Dec 2020113
Mar 2021112
Jun 2021108
Sept 2021111
Dec 2021155
Mar 2022164
Jun 2022178
Sept 2022173
Dec 2022171
Mar 2023165
Jun 2023243
Sept 2023255
Dec 2023231
Mar 2024227
Jun 2024248
Sept 2024264
Dec 2024257
Mar 2025263
Jun 2025260
Sept 2025254
Dec 2025260

Trend

+6Latest quarter change
+257Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation238
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
243
Homes for Ukraine
167
Afghan programme
90
Resettlement cumulative
393

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine167
Afghan programme90
Resettlement cumulative393

Population context

All pathways total500
Share of local population0.36%

Ethnic composition projection

Redcar and Cleveland: White British 96.5% (2021) to 91.0% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Redcar and Cleveland

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 87% in 2061Mixed 5% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Redcar and Cleveland

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
98%
2021
97%
2031proj
95%
2041proj
94%
2051proj
91%
2061proj
87%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Redcar and Cleveland ranges from61.1% to 84.0%by 2051. That is a 22.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 69.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 56.0% → 8.5%.

Religion: Redcar and Cleveland

426497295%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 90% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

2.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.11). 98.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Redcar and Cleveland

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 81% in 2051Foreign-born 19% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.2% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
black16.3% internal, 4.9% international
other16.4% internal, 2.3% international
mixed12.3% internal, 1.3% international
white other11% internal, 2.6% international
asian8.6% internal, 2.8% international
white british7% internal, 0.2% international

Why Redcar and Cleveland is changing

-1.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.4pp
Local migration
+6.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Redcar and Cleveland on UK Demographics →