Trend
-23 Latest quarter change
+338 Change across series
36 Official data points
Reigate and Banstead
Rebecca Paul
288 people housed on asylum support in Reigate and Banstead
Rank 108 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.1 per 10,000 puts Reigate and Banstead in the 76th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2048. 137 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £16M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Reigate and Banstead
£5.7Mestimated hotel costs/year
£737Ksubsistence payments/year
£346KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 288 people on asylum support in Reigate and Banstead (0.27% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Reigate and Banstead: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 150
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 137
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 442
Afghan programme 38
Resettlement cumulative 34
Population context
All pathways total 768
Share of local population 0.48%
Ethnic composition projection
Reigate and Banstead: WBI 76.9% (2021) → 47.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2048. 80% CI: 50.4–54.2%.
Ethnic composition: Reigate and Banstead
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Reigate and Banstead
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Reigate and Banstead ranges from 47.8% to 62.0% by 2051. That is a 14.2pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 53.1% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 7.6% (2051). Christian 52.2% → 14.6%.
Religion: Reigate and Banstead
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
16.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.49). 93.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Reigate and Banstead
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
black 15.6% internal, 3.4% international
asian 12.4% internal, 3% international
other 12.2% internal, 2.8% international
white other 12.5% internal, 2% international
mixed 11.1% internal, 0.8% international
white british 8.1% internal, 0.3% international
Why Reigate and Banstead is changing
-8.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Reigate and Banstead on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 64.2%
Mixed 71.2%
White Other 75.3%
Other 69.6%
Homeownership rate
White British 74.4%
Mixed 60.8%
White Other 59.7%
Other 55.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 38.9%
Mixed 43%
White Other 51.5%
Other 49.7%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
288 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
18.1 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
137 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.