asylumstatsFollow the money
West Midlands

Solihull

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Liam Byrne
Liam ByrneLabour · Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Solihull.

205 people on asylum support in Solihull

Rank 133 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 9.26 per 10,000 puts Solihull in the 60th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2050. 4 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 121 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 205 people at £107 per person per day is about £8.0M a year.

What asylum costs Solihull

£4.6Mestimated hotel costs/year
£524Ksubsistence payments/year
£246KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 205 people on asylum support in Solihull(0.22% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Solihull: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

300
4212811400Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20146
Jun 20148
Sept 20147
Dec 20147
Mar 20156
Jun 20155
Sept 20155
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20162
Sept 20163
Dec 20163
Mar 20171
Jun 20173
Sept 20174
Dec 20174
Mar 20185
Jun 20184
Sept 20184
Sept 20195
Jun 20212
Sept 20213
Dec 2021185
Mar 202233
Jun 2022110
Sept 2022142
Dec 2022374
Mar 2023421
Jun 2023317
Sept 2023365
Dec 2023276
Mar 2024266
Jun 2024167
Sept 2024303
Dec 2024293
Mar 2025259
Jun 2025303
Sept 2025321
Dec 2025300

Trend

-21Latest quarter change
+294Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation80
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only4
Contingency accommodation121

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
205
Homes for Ukraine
347
Afghan programme
88
Resettlement cumulative
24

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine347
Afghan programme88
Resettlement cumulative24

Population context

All pathways total640
Share of local population0.29%

Ethnic composition projection

Solihull: White British 77.9% (2021) to 48.7% (2051). White British minority by ~2050. 80% CI: 47.2, 52.5%.

Ethnic composition: Solihull

023456891% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 37% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Asian 31% in 2061Mixed 16% in 2061Other 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Solihull

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
86%
2021
78%
11%
2031proj
70%
15%
2041proj
60%
20%
2051proj
49%
26%
11%
2061proj
37%
31%
16%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Solihull ranges from52.1% to 64.1%by 2051. That is a 12pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 5.6% (2021) → 23.3% (2051). Christian 53.5% → 11.2%.

Religion: Solihull

015314662%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 57% in 2051Muslim 23% in 2051Hindu 5% in 2051Sikh 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.46). 95.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Solihull

528507295%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.5% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
other11.2% internal, 2.1% international
asian10.4% internal, 1.9% international
white other9.6% internal, 2.4% international
mixed9.5% internal, 0.6% international
black8.9% internal, 0.9% international
white british6.8% internal, 0.2% international

Why Solihull is changing

-7.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.5pp
Local migration
-1.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Solihull on UK Demographics →