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North East

South Tyneside

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Stephen Flynn
Stephen FlynnSNP · Aberdeen South

77 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping South Tyneside.

628 people on asylum support in South Tyneside

Rank 47 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 41.52 per 10,000 puts South Tyneside in the 97th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 33 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 628 people at £107 per person per day is about £24.5M a year.

What asylum costs South Tyneside

£14.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.6Msubsistence payments/year
£754KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 628 people on asylum support in South Tyneside(0.67% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

South Tyneside: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

625
7044692350Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201429
Jun 201436
Sept 201439
Dec 201438
Mar 201554
Jun 201558
Sept 201553
Dec 201555
Mar 201664
Jun 201662
Sept 201678
Dec 2016110
Mar 2017123
Jun 2017137
Sept 2017145
Dec 2017165
Mar 2018181
Jun 2018197
Sept 2018202
Dec 2018223
Mar 2019263
Jun 2019273
Sept 2019269
Dec 2019247
Mar 2020248
Jun 2020263
Sept 2020345
Dec 2020360
Mar 2021395
Jun 2021397
Sept 2021387
Dec 2021436
Mar 2022460
Jun 2022453
Sept 2022471
Dec 2022450
Mar 2023484
Jun 2023654
Sept 2023704
Dec 2023636
Mar 2024627
Jun 2024631
Sept 2024653
Dec 2024635
Mar 2025620
Jun 2025587
Sept 2025612
Dec 2025625

Trend

+13Latest quarter change
+596Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation593
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation33

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
628
Homes for Ukraine
128
Afghan programme
77
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine128
Afghan programme77
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total833
Share of local population0.55%

Ethnic composition projection

South Tyneside: White British 93.0% (2021) to 82.5% (2051). 80% CI: 81.9, 84.9%.

Ethnic composition: South Tyneside

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 77% in 2061Asian 8% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: South Tyneside

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
91%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
82%
2061proj
77%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in South Tyneside ranges from59.8% to 79.8%by 2051. That is a 20pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 67.2% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.6% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 55.1% → 7.8%.

Religion: South Tyneside

326497294%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 89% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.2). 97.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: South Tyneside

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 73% in 2051Foreign-born 27% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.7% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black15.5% internal, 4.6% international
other10.6% internal, 5.7% international
white other12.6% internal, 2.9% international
asian9.5% internal, 3.2% international
mixed10.6% internal, 1.5% international
white british6.4% internal, 0.1% international

Why South Tyneside is changing

-2.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View South Tyneside on UK Demographics →