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East of England

Southend-on-Sea

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
264 people on asylum support in Southend-on-Sea

Rank 114 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 14.25 per 10,000 puts Southend-on-Sea in the 69th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 9 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 264 people at £107 per person per day is about £10.3M a year.

What asylum costs Southend-on-Sea

£6.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£675Ksubsistence payments/year
£317KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 264 people on asylum support in Southend-on-Sea(0.28% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Southend-on-Sea: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

248
248165830Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20149
Jun 20149
Sept 201410
Dec 20148
Mar 20157
Jun 20157
Sept 20157
Dec 20159
Mar 20169
Jun 20169
Sept 20169
Dec 201611
Mar 201711
Jun 201715
Sept 201712
Dec 20179
Mar 20189
Jun 201816
Sept 201819
Dec 201818
Mar 201939
Jun 201952
Sept 201956
Dec 201950
Mar 202054
Jun 202058
Sept 202067
Dec 202090
Mar 202187
Jun 202197
Sept 2021102
Dec 2021115
Mar 2022144
Jun 2022150
Sept 2022167
Dec 2022178
Mar 2023154
Jun 2023239
Sept 2023232
Dec 2023191
Mar 2024201
Jun 2024202
Sept 2024203
Dec 2024209
Mar 2025230
Jun 2025230
Sept 2025247
Dec 2025248

Trend

+1Latest quarter change
+239Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation255
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only9
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
264
Homes for Ukraine
321
Afghan programme
98
Resettlement cumulative
34

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine321
Afghan programme98
Resettlement cumulative34

Population context

All pathways total683
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Southend-on-Sea: White British 81.6% (2021) to 60.9% (2051). 80% CI: 60.8, 65.5%.

Ethnic composition: Southend-on-Sea

023466992% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 52% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Asian 13% in 2061Black 6% in 2061Mixed 15% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Southend-on-Sea

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
87%
2021
82%
2031proj
76%
2041proj
69%
9%
2051proj
61%
8%
11%
11%
2061proj
52%
8%
13%
15%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Southend-on-Sea ranges from53.6% to 67.5%by 2051. That is a 13.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.2% (2021) → 7.1% (2051). Christian 45.2% → 11.3%.

Religion: Southend-on-Sea

020416182%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 77% in 2051Muslim 7% in 2051Hindu 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

12.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.42). 94.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Southend-on-Sea

829507193%Census 2021UK-born 60% in 2051Foreign-born 40% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.7% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
other12.8% internal, 4.6% international
white other12.2% internal, 2.2% international
asian10.7% internal, 2.8% international
mixed11.5% internal, 0.8% international
black10.7% internal, 1.4% international
white british8.1% internal, 0.2% international

Why Southend-on-Sea is changing

-5.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.6pp
Local migration
+1.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Southend-on-Sea on UK Demographics →