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North East

Stockton-on-Tees

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
822 people on asylum support in Stockton-on-Tees

Rank 27 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 39.68 per 10,000 puts Stockton-on-Tees in the 96th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. 7 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 29 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 822 people at £107 per person per day is about £32.1M a year.

What asylum costs Stockton-on-Tees

£18.6Mestimated hotel costs/year
£2.1Msubsistence payments/year
£986KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 822 people on asylum support in Stockton-on-Tees(0.88% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Stockton-on-Tees: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

832
9746493250Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2019Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014551
Jun 2014579
Sept 2014666
Dec 2014686
Mar 2015753
Jun 2015697
Sept 2015749
Dec 2015793
Mar 2016879
Jun 2016870
Sept 2016855
Dec 2016867
Mar 2017726
Jun 2017680
Sept 2017675
Dec 2017702
Mar 2018916
Jun 2018888
Sept 2018898
Dec 2018964
Mar 2019961
Jun 2019974
Sept 2019868
Dec 2019773
Mar 2020667
Jun 2020703
Sept 2020674
Dec 2020703
Mar 2021693
Jun 2021740
Sept 2021739
Dec 2021734
Mar 2022759
Jun 2022770
Sept 2022764
Dec 2022753
Mar 2023745
Jun 2023873
Sept 2023812
Dec 2023758
Mar 2024782
Jun 2024791
Sept 2024808
Dec 2024830
Mar 2025800
Jun 2025779
Sept 2025805
Dec 2025832

Trend

+27Latest quarter change
+281Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation786
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only7
Contingency accommodation29

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
822
Homes for Ukraine
236
Afghan programme
115
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine236
Afghan programme115
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total1,173
Share of local population0.57%

Ethnic composition projection

Stockton-on-Tees: White British 90.3% (2021) to 74.2% (2051). 80% CI: 73.7, 77.8%.

Ethnic composition: Stockton-on-Tees

025497498% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 65% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Asian 13% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 7% in 2061Other 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Stockton-on-Tees

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
90%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
81%
8%
2051proj
74%
10%
2061proj
65%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Stockton-on-Tees ranges from62.8% to 78.5%by 2051. That is a 15.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 68.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.6% (2021) → 5.3% (2051). Christian 53.8% → 8.8%.

Religion: Stockton-on-Tees

022456790%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 85% in 2051Muslim 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 97% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Stockton-on-Tees

126507499%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.2% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black17.4% internal, 4.6% international
other17.3% internal, 4.3% international
white other13.1% internal, 2.7% international
mixed13.6% internal, 1.6% international
asian8.2% internal, 2.2% international
white british7.8% internal, 0.2% international

Why Stockton-on-Tees is changing

-3.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Stockton-on-Tees on UK Demographics →