Trend
+5 Latest quarter change
+197 Change across series
31 Official data points
Tendring
214 people housed on asylum support in Tendring
Rank 135 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 13.65 per 10,000 puts Tendring in the 66th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 43 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £12M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Tendring
£4.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£547Ksubsistence payments/year
£257KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 214 people on asylum support in Tendring (0.20% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Tendring: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 169
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 2
Contingency accommodation 43
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 211
Afghan programme 15
Resettlement cumulative 10
Population context
All pathways total 440
Share of local population 0.28%
Ethnic composition projection
Tendring: WBI 93.5% (2021) → 90.1% (2051). 80% CI: 86.8–88.5%.
Ethnic composition: Tendring
White British White Other Mixed 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Tendring
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Tendring ranges from 58.0% to 79.9% by 2051. That is a 21.9pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 65.9% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.7% (2051). Christian 52.4% → 11.3%.
Religion: Tendring
Christian No religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.19). 98.4% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Tendring
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
black 14.8% internal, 1% international
white other 11.5% internal, 1.1% international
asian 10.2% internal, 2.1% international
mixed 11.9% internal, 0.3% international
other 9.4% internal, 1.7% international
white british 8.9% internal, 0.2% international
Why Tendring is changing
-1.9ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Tendring on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 49.3%
Mixed 63.4%
White Other 57.5%
Other 60.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 72.5%
Mixed 50%
White Other 63.9%
Other 52.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 19.3%
Mixed 26%
White Other 34.1%
Other 28.5%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
214 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
13.65 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
43 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East of England by supported asylum.