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East of England

Tendring

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
213 people on asylum support in Tendring

Rank 126 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 13.39 per 10,000 puts Tendring in the 67th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 33 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 213 people at £107 per person per day is about £8.3M a year.

What asylum costs Tendring

£4.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£545Ksubsistence payments/year
£256KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 213 people on asylum support in Tendring(0.23% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Tendring: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

198
198132660Jun 2018Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Dec 20185
Mar 20191
Jun 20191
Sept 20192
Dec 20192
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20211
Dec 20216
Mar 202210
Jun 202213
Sept 202214
Dec 202229
Mar 202351
Jun 2023103
Sept 2023102
Dec 2023129
Mar 2024101
Jun 2024116
Sept 2024144
Dec 2024138
Mar 2025154
Jun 2025171
Sept 2025193
Dec 2025198

Trend

+5Latest quarter change
+197Change across series
31Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation177
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation33

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
213
Homes for Ukraine
217
Afghan programme
15
Resettlement cumulative
10

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine217
Afghan programme15
Resettlement cumulative10

Population context

All pathways total445
Share of local population0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

Tendring: White British 93.5% (2021) to 88.3% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Tendring

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 85% in 2061White Other 3% in 2061Mixed 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Tendring

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
92%
2041proj
91%
2051proj
88%
2061proj
85%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Tendring ranges from58.0% to 79.9%by 2051. That is a 21.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 65.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.7% (2051). Christian 52.4% → 11.3%.

Religion: Tendring

628497192%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.19). 98.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Tendring

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 70% in 2051Foreign-born 30% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
black14.8% internal, 1% international
white other11.5% internal, 1.1% international
asian10.2% internal, 2.1% international
mixed11.9% internal, 0.3% international
other9.4% internal, 1.7% international
white british8.9% internal, 0.2% international

Why Tendring is changing

-1.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Tendring on UK Demographics →