asylumstatsFollow the money
West Midlands

Walsall

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Valerie Vaz
Valerie VazLabour · Walsall and Bloxwich
663 people on asylum support in Walsall

Rank 41 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 22.42 per 10,000 puts Walsall in the 85th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2037. 14 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 663 people at £107 per person per day is about £25.9M a year.

What asylum costs Walsall

£15.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.7Msubsistence payments/year
£796KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 663 people on asylum support in Walsall(0.71% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Walsall: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

691
8955972980Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014185
Jun 2014215
Sept 2014226
Dec 2014232
Mar 2015234
Jun 2015234
Sept 2015245
Dec 2015247
Mar 2016248
Jun 2016283
Sept 2016316
Dec 2016348
Mar 2017372
Jun 2017359
Sept 2017365
Dec 2017376
Mar 2018405
Jun 2018414
Sept 2018399
Dec 2018408
Mar 2019407
Jun 2019400
Sept 2019383
Dec 2019443
Mar 2020461
Jun 2020496
Sept 2020505
Dec 2020513
Mar 2021527
Jun 2021526
Sept 2021512
Dec 2021509
Mar 2022535
Jun 2022519
Sept 2022472
Dec 2022682
Mar 2023690
Jun 2023879
Sept 2023866
Dec 2023812
Mar 2024820
Jun 2024811
Sept 2024895
Dec 2024698
Mar 2025696
Jun 2025697
Sept 2025701
Dec 2025691

Trend

-10Latest quarter change
+506Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation649
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only14
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
663
Homes for Ukraine
145
Afghan programme
185
Resettlement cumulative
25

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine145
Afghan programme185
Resettlement cumulative25

Population context

All pathways total993
Share of local population0.34%

Ethnic composition projection

Walsall: White British 67.4% (2021) to 34.9% (2051). White British minority by ~2037. 80% CI: 33.2, 38.4%.

Ethnic composition: Walsall

020416182% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 25% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 28% in 2061Black 15% in 2061Mixed 12% in 2061Other 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Walsall

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
77%
15%
2021
67%
19%
2031proj
57%
23%
2041proj
46%
26%
9%
2051proj
35%
8%
28%
12%
9%
2061proj
25%
9%
28%
15%
12%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Walsall ranges from45.0% to 52.4%by 2051. That is a 7.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 48.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 11.9% (2021) → 17.0% (2051). Christian 47.1% → 11.2%.

Religion: Walsall

117334965%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 60% in 2051Muslim 17% in 2051Sikh 10% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

14.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.58). 90.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Walsall

1030507090%Census 2021UK-born 56% in 2051Foreign-born 45% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Low foreign-born share with significant ethnic diversity suggests second/third-generation growth is the primary driver. Less sensitive to immigration policy changes.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.5% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
white other11.5% internal, 2% international
black10.3% internal, 2% international
other9.1% internal, 2.5% international
mixed9.9% internal, 0.4% international
asian6.9% internal, 1.1% international
white british5.6% internal, 0.1% international

Why Walsall is changing

-9.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.2pp
Local migration
-3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Walsall on UK Demographics →