South East

Wealden

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
419 people on asylum support in Wealden

Rank 73 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 24.89 per 10,000 puts Wealden in the 88th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 419 people at £107 per person per day is about £16.4M a year.

What asylum costs Wealden

£9.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.1Msubsistence payments/year
£503KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 419 people on asylum support in Wealden(0.45% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Wealden: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
9563320Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Albania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Dec 202284
Mar 202372
Jun 202391
Sept 202395
Dec 202387
Mar 202455
Mar 20252
Jun 20251
Dec 20251

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
11Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
419
Homes for Ukraine
955
Afghan programme
83
Resettlement cumulative
48

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine955
Afghan programme83
Resettlement cumulative48

Population context

All pathways total1,457
Share of local population0.87%

Ethnic composition projection

Wealden: White British 91.7% (2021) to 84.9% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Wealden

025497499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 80% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Mixed 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Wealden

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
88%
2051proj
85%
2061proj
80%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Wealden ranges from58.6% to 78.7%by 2051. That is a 20.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 66.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.6% (2051). Christian 52.8% → 11.5%.

Religion: Wealden

628497092%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 98% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Wealden

326507497%Census 2021UK-born 72% in 2051Foreign-born 28% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.2% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black14.7% internal, 3.1% international
other13.1% internal, 2.3% international
mixed13.7% internal, 1.4% international
white other12.7% internal, 2.3% international
asian9.7% internal, 2.3% international
white british8.9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Wealden is changing

-2.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+5.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).