Trend
+0 Latest quarter change
+0 Change across series
11 Official data points
Wealden
265 people housed on asylum support in Wealden
Rank 115 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 15.88 per 10,000 puts Wealden in the 71st percentile. That means this area carries more than most. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £15M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Wealden
£5.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£678Ksubsistence payments/year
£318KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 265 people on asylum support in Wealden (0.25% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Wealden: asylum numbers holding steady
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 0
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 946
Afghan programme 78
Resettlement cumulative 48
Population context
All pathways total 1,289
Share of local population 0.77%
Ethnic composition projection
Wealden: WBI 91.7% (2021) → 88.7% (2051). 80% CI: 82.7–85%.
Ethnic composition: Wealden
White British White Other Mixed 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Wealden
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Wealden ranges from 58.6% to 78.7% by 2051. That is a 20.1pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 66.0% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.6% (2051). Christian 52.8% → 11.5%.
Religion: Wealden
Christian No religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
7.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 98% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Wealden
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 9.2% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black 14.7% internal, 3.1% international
other 13.1% internal, 2.3% international
mixed 13.7% internal, 1.4% international
white other 12.7% internal, 2.3% international
asian 9.7% internal, 2.3% international
white british 8.9% internal, 0.3% international
Why Wealden is changing
-2.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Wealden on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.5%
Mixed 67.5%
White Other 65.2%
Other 66.3%
Homeownership rate
White British 78.8%
Mixed 66%
White Other 65.6%
Other 62.4%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 31.6%
Mixed 40.4%
White Other 50.4%
Other 50.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
265 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
15.88 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.