asylumstatsFollow the money
South West

Wiltshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Danny Kruger
Danny KrugerReform UK · East Wiltshire

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Wiltshire.

196 people on asylum support in Wiltshire

Rank 137 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.72 per 10,000 puts Wiltshire in the 38th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 7 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 196 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.7M a year.

What asylum costs Wiltshire

£4.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£501Ksubsistence payments/year
£235KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 196 people on asylum support in Wiltshire(0.21% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Wiltshire: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

208
208139690Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20142
Dec 20142
Mar 20152
Jun 20153
Sept 20153
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20163
Sept 20163
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20176
Dec 20177
Mar 20187
Jun 20187
Sept 20187
Mar 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20205
Jun 20205
Sept 20205
Dec 20205
Mar 20216
Jun 202114
Sept 202118
Dec 202122
Mar 202219
Jun 202221
Sept 202220
Dec 202272
Mar 202396
Jun 2023102
Sept 2023116
Dec 2023100
Mar 202478
Jun 202458
Sept 202477
Dec 2024112
Mar 2025154
Jun 2025158
Sept 2025193
Dec 2025208

Trend

+15Latest quarter change
+206Change across series
43Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation189
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only7
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
196
Homes for Ukraine
1,777
Afghan programme
458
Resettlement cumulative
179

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,777
Afghan programme458
Resettlement cumulative179

Population context

All pathways total2,431
Share of local population0.46%

Ethnic composition projection

Wiltshire: White British 90.1% (2021) to 78.6% (2051). 80% CI: 78.2, 81.1%.

Ethnic composition: Wiltshire

025497498% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 72% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Black 3% in 2061Mixed 8% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Wiltshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
90%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
84%
2051proj
79%
2061proj
72%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Wiltshire ranges from73.7% to 81.7%by 2051. That is a 8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 77.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.4% (2051). Christian 53.4% → 12.8%.

Religion: Wiltshire

828486887%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 82% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

9.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.26). 96.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Wiltshire

527507395%Census 2021UK-born 66% in 2051Foreign-born 34% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.6% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
other15.4% internal, 3.8% international
black16.4% internal, 2.7% international
asian14.2% internal, 4.8% international
mixed13.5% internal, 1.5% international
white other12.1% internal, 2.8% international
white british9.2% internal, 0.4% international

Why Wiltshire is changing

-3.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Wiltshire on UK Demographics →