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South East

Windsor and Maidenhead

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Joshua Reynolds
Mr Joshua ReynoldsLiberal Democrats · Maidenhead

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Windsor and Maidenhead.

368 people on asylum support in Windsor and Maidenhead

Rank 85 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 23.03 per 10,000 puts Windsor and Maidenhead in the 86th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2043. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 347 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 368 people at £107 per person per day is about £14.4M a year.

What asylum costs Windsor and Maidenhead

£8.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£941Ksubsistence payments/year
£442KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 368 people on asylum support in Windsor and Maidenhead(0.39% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Windsor and Maidenhead: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

377
4523011510Jun 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20141
Sept 20142
Dec 20142
Mar 20154
Jun 20155
Sept 20153
Dec 20153
Mar 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20164
Mar 20173
Jun 20173
Mar 20193
Jun 20193
Sept 20193
Dec 20193
Mar 20203
Jun 20203
Sept 20203
Dec 20203
Mar 20213
Sept 20214
Dec 20215
Mar 20227
Jun 202224
Sept 202245
Dec 2022426
Mar 2023436
Jun 2023396
Sept 2023433
Dec 2023428
Mar 2024364
Jun 2024315
Sept 2024381
Dec 2024452
Mar 2025359
Jun 2025263
Sept 2025373
Dec 2025377

Trend

+4Latest quarter change
+376Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation16
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation347

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
368
Homes for Ukraine
534
Afghan programme
20
Resettlement cumulative
26

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine534
Afghan programme20
Resettlement cumulative26

Population context

All pathways total922
Share of local population0.58%

Ethnic composition projection

Windsor and Maidenhead: White British 69.1% (2021) to 41.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2043. 80% CI: 41, 45.8%.

Ethnic composition: Windsor and Maidenhead

021416283% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 32% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 26% in 2061Mixed 15% in 2061Other 10% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Windsor and Maidenhead

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
78%
9%
10%
2021
69%
11%
13%
2031proj
61%
12%
17%
2041proj
52%
13%
20%
2051proj
42%
14%
24%
11%
2061proj
32%
14%
26%
15%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Windsor and Maidenhead ranges from41.1% to 53.1%by 2051. That is a 12pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 45.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 6.0% (2021) → 10.3% (2051). Christian 53.1% → 16.2%.

Religion: Windsor and Maidenhead

016314763%Census 2021Christian 16% in 2051No religion 58% in 2051Muslim 10% in 2051Hindu 9% in 2051Sikh 6% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

21.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.57). 91.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Windsor and Maidenhead

1733506783%Census 2021UK-born 31% in 2051Foreign-born 69% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 1.2% arrived from abroad
white other13.8% internal, 4% international
black14.3% internal, 2.3% international
other11.7% internal, 3.2% international
mixed11.6% internal, 1.6% international
asian9.9% internal, 1.8% international
white british8.3% internal, 0.6% international

Why Windsor and Maidenhead is changing

-8.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.2pp
Local migration
-2.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Windsor and Maidenhead on UK Demographics →