Trend
+4 Latest quarter change
+376 Change across series
39 Official data points
Windsor and Maidenhead
Mr Joshua Reynolds
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Windsor and Maidenhead.
302 people housed on asylum support in Windsor and Maidenhead
Rank 105 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 19 per 10,000 puts Windsor and Maidenhead in the 78th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2042. 277 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £17M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Windsor and Maidenhead
£5.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£772Ksubsistence payments/year
£362KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 302 people on asylum support in Windsor and Maidenhead (0.28% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Windsor and Maidenhead: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 21
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 4
Contingency accommodation 277
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 527
Afghan programme 20
Resettlement cumulative 26
Population context
All pathways total 849
Share of local population 0.53%
Ethnic composition projection
Windsor and Maidenhead: WBI 69.1% (2021) → 41.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2042. 80% CI: 36.3–39.8%.
Ethnic composition: Windsor and Maidenhead
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Windsor and Maidenhead
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Windsor and Maidenhead ranges from 41.1% to 53.1% by 2051. That is a 12pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 45.6% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 6.0% (2021) → 10.3% (2051). Christian 53.1% → 16.2%.
Religion: Windsor and Maidenhead
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
21.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.57). 91.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Windsor and Maidenhead
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 1.2% arrived from abroad
white other 13.8% internal, 4% international
black 14.3% internal, 2.3% international
other 11.7% internal, 3.2% international
mixed 11.6% internal, 1.6% international
asian 9.9% internal, 1.8% international
white british 8.3% internal, 0.6% international
Why Windsor and Maidenhead is changing
-8.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Windsor and Maidenhead on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 63.1%
Mixed 70.5%
White Other 75.2%
Other 69.4%
Homeownership rate
White British 69.5%
Mixed 55.2%
White Other 49.8%
Other 56.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 43.1%
Mixed 46.9%
White Other 56.5%
Other 53.7%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 22,677 pupils. 55.3% White British. Schools are 13.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 55.3%
Asian 18.5%
Mixed 10.8%
White Other 10.5%
Black 2.5%
Other 2.4%
What this means
Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
44.7% Minority pupils now
57.5% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
53.4% Primary WBI
56.9% Secondary WBI
Accelerating diversification. Primary schools are significantly more diverse than secondary.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -1.19pp/year. Rapid diversification in young cohorts. The demographic wave is accelerating.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 62.9% vs school 55.3% (-7.6pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
302 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
19 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
277 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.