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Barking and Dagenham

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Nesil Caliskan
Nesil CaliskanLabour · Barking

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Barking and Dagenham.

271 people on asylum support in Barking and Dagenham

Rank 108 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 11.37 per 10,000 puts Barking and Dagenham in the 64th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 27 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 271 people at £107 per person per day is about £10.6M a year.

What asylum costs Barking and Dagenham

£6.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£693Ksubsistence payments/year
£325KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 271 people on asylum support in Barking and Dagenham(0.29% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Barking and Dagenham: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

301
9236153080Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2018Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014136
Jun 2014140
Sept 2014124
Dec 2014124
Mar 2015140
Jun 2015126
Sept 2015133
Dec 2015167
Mar 2016195
Jun 2016351
Sept 2016460
Dec 2016623
Mar 2017685
Jun 2017725
Sept 2017755
Dec 2017827
Mar 2018923
Jun 2018820
Sept 2018880
Dec 2018904
Mar 2019902
Jun 2019867
Sept 2019840
Dec 2019790
Mar 2020807
Jun 2020835
Sept 2020841
Dec 2020839
Mar 2021805
Jun 2021790
Sept 2021743
Dec 2021668
Mar 2022662
Jun 2022655
Sept 2022621
Dec 2022593
Mar 2023581
Jun 2023594
Sept 2023560
Dec 2023478
Mar 2024550
Jun 2024475
Sept 2024446
Dec 2024389
Mar 2025374
Jun 2025324
Sept 2025298
Dec 2025301

Trend

+3Latest quarter change
+165Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation244
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only27
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
271
Homes for Ukraine
1,044
Afghan programme
39
Resettlement cumulative
9

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,044
Afghan programme39
Resettlement cumulative9

Population context

All pathways total1,354
Share of local population0.57%

Ethnic composition projection

Barking and Dagenham: White British 30.9% (2021) to 4.9% (2051). 80% CI: 4.6, 5.6%.

Ethnic composition: Barking and Dagenham

015304459% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 2% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 54% in 2061Black 15% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Barking and Dagenham

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
49%
9%
16%
23%
2021
31%
14%
26%
21%
2031proj
18%
16%
34%
21%
2041proj
10%
17%
41%
20%
2051proj
16%
48%
18%
8%
2061proj
14%
54%
15%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Barking and Dagenham ranges from16.8% to 19.3%by 2051. That is a 2.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 17.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 25.8% (2021) → 71.6% (2051). Christian 48.0% → 12.7%.

Religion: Barking and Dagenham

019385777%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 10% in 2051Muslim 72% in 2051Hindu 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

41.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.88). 75.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Barking and Dagenham

1934506682%Census 2021UK-born 24% in 2051Foreign-born 77% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.3% moved within UK, 1% arrived from abroad
white other11.5% internal, 1.6% international
other9.3% internal, 1.9% international
asian8.9% internal, 1.8% international
mixed8.7% internal, 0.5% international
black6.7% internal, 0.8% international
white british4.1% internal, 0.2% international

Why Barking and Dagenham is changing

-18.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+2.4pp
Local migration
-14.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Barking and Dagenham on UK Demographics →