Yorkshire and The Humber

Barnsley

Updated 31 Dec 2025 · Home Office
Dan Jarvis
Dan Jarvis Labour · Barnsley North

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Barnsley.

269 people housed on asylum support in Barnsley

Rank 113 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.68 per 10,000 puts Barnsley in the 61st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £15M per year for this area alone.

What asylum costs Barnsley

£5.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£688Ksubsistence payments/year
£323KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 269 people on asylum support in Barnsley (0.25% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 258
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 11
Contingency accommodation 0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
269
Homes for Ukraine
159
Afghan programme
160
Resettlement cumulative
27

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 159
Afghan programme 160
Resettlement cumulative 27

Population context

All pathways total 588
Share of local population 0.23%

Ethnic composition projection

Barnsley: WBI 92.6% (2021) → 66.2% (2051). 80% CI: 69.9–74.3%.

Ethnic composition: Barnsley

0 25 50 75 100 % of population Census 2021 Illustrative White British 50% White Other 45% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Barnsley

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
93%
2031 proj
88%
8%
2041 proj
79%
17%
2051 proj
66%
29%
2061 proj
50%
45%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Barnsley ranges from 68.4% to 82.5% by 2051. That is a 14.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 74.0% by 2051

Why Barnsley is changing

-3.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+3.9pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).