Barnsley
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Barnsley.
Rank 113 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.68 per 10,000 puts Barnsley in the 61st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £15M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Barnsley
Estimates based on 269 people on asylum support in Barnsley (0.25% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Local numbers
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Population context
Ethnic composition projection
Barnsley: WBI 92.6% (2021) → 66.2% (2051). 80% CI: 69.9–74.3%.
Ethnic composition: Barnsley
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Barnsley
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Barnsley ranges from 68.4% to 82.5% by 2051. That is a 14.2pp spread.
Why Barnsley is changing
-3.7ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
National benchmarks
National distribution.
Per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.