North West

Blackpool

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Lorraine Beavers
Lorraine BeaversLabour · Blackpool North and Fleetwood

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Blackpool.

236 people on asylum support in Blackpool

Rank 122 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.45 per 10,000 puts Blackpool in the 74th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 6 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 16 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 236 people at £107 per person per day is about £9.2M a year.

What asylum costs Blackpool

£5.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£604Ksubsistence payments/year
£283KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 236 people on asylum support in Blackpool(0.25% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Blackpool: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

577
7054702350Jun 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20144
Sept 20144
Dec 20145
Mar 20155
Jun 20155
Sept 20155
Dec 20155
Mar 20166
Jun 20166
Sept 20166
Dec 20165
Mar 20177
Jun 20177
Sept 20178
Dec 20175
Mar 20186
Jun 20186
Sept 20186
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20213
Sept 20213
Dec 2021117
Mar 2022110
Jun 202286
Sept 2022218
Dec 2022656
Mar 2023705
Jun 2023525
Sept 2023536
Dec 2023367
Mar 2024257
Jun 2024462
Sept 2024538
Dec 2024555
Mar 2025450
Jun 2025620
Sept 2025676
Dec 2025577

Trend

-99Latest quarter change
+573Change across series
40Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation214
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only6
Contingency accommodation16

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
236
Homes for Ukraine
155
Afghan programme
69
Resettlement cumulative
84

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine155
Afghan programme69
Resettlement cumulative84

Population context

All pathways total460
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Blackpool: White British 90.4% (2021) to 76.2% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Blackpool

025497499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 67% in 2061White Other 11% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Blackpool

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
90%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
83%
2051proj
76%
9%
2061proj
67%
11%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Blackpool ranges from56.8% to 76.4%by 2051. That is a 19.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 64.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.5% (2021) → 4.2% (2051). Christian 53.7% → 9.7%.

Religion: Blackpool

022456790%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 85% in 2051Muslim 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 95.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Blackpool

326507497%Census 2021UK-born 59% in 2051Foreign-born 41% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.6% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
black20.9% internal, 8.5% international
asian10.5% internal, 10.6% international
other11.2% internal, 4.3% international
white other10.9% internal, 2.7% international
mixed12.5% internal, 0.8% international
white british8.3% internal, 0.2% international

Why Blackpool is changing

-3.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).