Blackpool
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Blackpool.
Rank 122 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.45 per 10,000 puts Blackpool in the 74th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 6 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 16 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 236 people at £107 per person per day is about £9.2M a year.
What asylum costs Blackpool
Estimates based on 236 people on asylum support in Blackpool(0.25% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
Blackpool: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Jun 2014 | 4 |
| Sept 2014 | 4 |
| Dec 2014 | 5 |
| Mar 2015 | 5 |
| Jun 2015 | 5 |
| Sept 2015 | 5 |
| Dec 2015 | 5 |
| Mar 2016 | 6 |
| Jun 2016 | 6 |
| Sept 2016 | 6 |
| Dec 2016 | 5 |
| Mar 2017 | 7 |
| Jun 2017 | 7 |
| Sept 2017 | 8 |
| Dec 2017 | 5 |
| Mar 2018 | 6 |
| Jun 2018 | 6 |
| Sept 2018 | 6 |
| Sept 2020 | 2 |
| Dec 2020 | 2 |
| Mar 2021 | 2 |
| Jun 2021 | 3 |
| Sept 2021 | 3 |
| Dec 2021 | 117 |
| Mar 2022 | 110 |
| Jun 2022 | 86 |
| Sept 2022 | 218 |
| Dec 2022 | 656 |
| Mar 2023 | 705 |
| Jun 2023 | 525 |
| Sept 2023 | 536 |
| Dec 2023 | 367 |
| Mar 2024 | 257 |
| Jun 2024 | 462 |
| Sept 2024 | 538 |
| Dec 2024 | 555 |
| Mar 2025 | 450 |
| Jun 2025 | 620 |
| Sept 2025 | 676 |
| Dec 2025 | 577 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Population context
Ethnic composition projection
Blackpool: White British 90.4% (2021) to 76.2% (2051).
Ethnic composition: Blackpool
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Blackpool
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Blackpool ranges from56.8% to 76.4%by 2051. That is a 19.6pp spread.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.5% (2021) → 4.2% (2051). Christian 53.7% → 9.7%.
Religion: Blackpool
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
7.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 95.6% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Blackpool
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 8.6% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
Why Blackpool is changing
-3.3ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
Homeownership rate
Degree+ qualification rate
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 19,547 pupils. 82.1% White British. Schools are 8.3pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
What this means
Schools are 8pp more diverse than the general population (schools show the future).
Demographic pipeline
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.94pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Compared with Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 87.6% vs school 82.1% (-5.5pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
Crime
142.8 crimes per 1,000 residents (96th percentile). Down 3.4% year-on-year.
Crime breakdown
Key metrics
Source
ONS recorded crime, Year ending March 2024. Correlation with asylum dispersal does not imply causation.
SEND pressure
EHCP rate: 478 per 10,000 pupils (96th percentile). 5-year growth: +51.2%.
Primary need types
Key metrics
Source
DfE SEN2 return, Academic year 2023/24. Rising EHCPs reflect multiple factors, not solely population change.
Social care
Adult social care: £724 per capita (96th percentile).
Source
NHS Digital SALT/ASCOF, 2023/24.
Pressure index
Combined score across 5 domains: 86.0/100.
Methodology
Each domain converted to percentile rank (0-100). Composite = unweighted mean. Measures correlation, not causation.
National benchmarks
National distribution.
Per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.