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London

Brent

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Dawn Butler
Dawn ButlerLabour · Brent East

4 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Brent.

789 people on asylum support in Brent

Rank 29 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 22.4 per 10,000 puts Brent in the 85th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 183 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 427 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 789 people at £107 per person per day is about £30.8M a year.

What asylum costs Brent

£17.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£2.0Msubsistence payments/year
£947KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 789 people on asylum support in Brent(0.85% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Brent: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1,024
1,1607733870Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201491
Jun 2014104
Sept 2014108
Dec 2014111
Mar 2015105
Jun 2015107
Sept 201599
Dec 201585
Mar 2016172
Jun 2016180
Sept 2016202
Dec 2016205
Mar 2017184
Jun 2017184
Sept 2017181
Dec 2017177
Mar 2018229
Jun 2018217
Sept 2018208
Dec 2018186
Mar 2019167
Jun 2019160
Sept 2019159
Dec 2019161
Mar 2020166
Jun 2020206
Sept 2020248
Dec 2020251
Mar 2021269
Jun 2021276
Sept 2021305
Dec 2021315
Mar 2022318
Jun 2022288
Sept 2022339
Dec 2022925
Mar 2023950
Jun 2023912
Sept 2023908
Dec 20231,055
Mar 20241,054
Jun 2024904
Sept 20241,160
Dec 20241,059
Mar 20251,146
Jun 20251,006
Sept 20251,076
Dec 20251,024

Trend

-52Latest quarter change
+933Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation179
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only183
Contingency accommodation427

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
789
Homes for Ukraine
853
Afghan programme
139
Resettlement cumulative
54

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine853
Afghan programme139
Resettlement cumulative54

Population context

All pathways total1,781
Share of local population0.51%

Ethnic composition projection

Shown to 2051 rather than 2061. Past that point the model puts a residual Census category above a quarter of the population and several times its 2021 share, which is unconstrained compounding rather than a forecast, so those years are withheld.

Brent: White British 15.2% (2021) to 9.3% (2051). 80% CI: 8.2, 10.9%.

Ethnic composition: Brent

010202939% of populationCensus 2021White British 9% in 2051White Other 15% in 2051Asian 26% in 2051Black 15% in 2051Mixed 7% in 2051Other 28% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Brent

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
18%
18%
34%
21%
2021
15%
19%
33%
18%
10%
2031proj
13%
18%
32%
17%
15%
2041proj
11%
17%
29%
16%
21%
2051proj
9%
15%
26%
15%
28%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Brent ranges from10.2% to 11.0%by 2051. That is a 0.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 10.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 22.9% (2021) → 30.4% (2051). Christian 41.7% → 30.2%.

Religion: Brent

515263647%Census 2021Christian 30% in 2051No religion 27% in 2051Muslim 30% in 2051Hindu 10% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

56.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.92). 66.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Brent

1030507091%Census 2021UK-born 15% in 2051Foreign-born 86% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.8% moved within UK, 1.7% arrived from abroad
white other15.1% internal, 2.6% international
mixed13% internal, 1.4% international
other12.2% internal, 1.9% international
white british12.5% internal, 0.7% international
asian8.5% internal, 2% international
black7.4% internal, 0.8% international

Why Brent is changing

-2.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+4.9pp
Local migration
-1.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Brent on UK Demographics →