Trend
-20 Latest quarter change
+214 Change across series
48 Official data points
Camden
223 people housed on asylum support in Camden
Rank 132 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.28 per 10,000 puts Camden in the 61st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 198 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £12M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Camden
£4.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£570Ksubsistence payments/year
£268KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 223 people on asylum support in Camden (0.21% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Camden: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 7
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 18
Contingency accommodation 198
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,118
Afghan programme 332
Resettlement cumulative 102
Population context
All pathways total 1,673
Share of local population 0.77%
Ethnic composition projection
Camden: WBI 35.4% (2021) → 13.1% (2051). 80% CI: 10.1–13.6%.
Ethnic composition: Camden
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Camden
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Camden ranges from 21.1% to 24.4% by 2051. That is a 3.3pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 22.5% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 17.7% (2021) → 23.1% (2051). Christian 34.5% → 15.1%.
Religion: Camden
Christian No religion Muslim
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
45.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.89). 78.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Camden
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Census 2021 mobility: 14.4% moved within UK, 3.9% arrived from abroad
white other 17.8% internal, 7% international
mixed 15.7% internal, 4.2% international
asian 12.5% internal, 6.2% international
other 13.4% internal, 4.2% international
white british 14.7% internal, 1.1% international
black 7.4% internal, 1.6% international
Why Camden is changing
-8.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Camden on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.7%
Mixed 63.1%
White Other 71.2%
Other 58%
Homeownership rate
White British 32.7%
Mixed 22.2%
White Other 28.2%
Other 23.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 53.7%
Mixed 53.5%
White Other 67.8%
Other 53.5%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 19,992 pupils. 22.5% White British. Schools are 12.9pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 22.5%
Asian 19.6%
Black 17%
White Other 16.6%
Mixed 15.8%
Other 8.6%
What this means
Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
77.5% Minority pupils now
84.4% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
21.3% Primary WBI
23.8% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.27pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 30.4% vs school 22.5% (-7.9pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
223 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
10.28 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
198 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.