asylumstatsFollow the money
North West

Chorley

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sir Lindsay Hoyle
Sir Lindsay HoyleSpeaker · Chorley
239 people on asylum support in Chorley

Rank 119 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 19.62 per 10,000 puts Chorley in the 81st percentile. That means this area carries more than most. Accommodation and support for 239 people at £107 per person per day is about £9.3M a year.

What asylum costs Chorley

£5.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£611Ksubsistence payments/year
£287KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 239 people on asylum support in Chorley(0.26% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Chorley: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

229
229153760Jun 2016Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20163
Sept 201615
Dec 201620
Mar 201722
Jun 201717
Sept 201714
Dec 201734
Mar 201838
Jun 201841
Sept 201853
Dec 201852
Mar 201947
Jun 201945
Sept 201946
Dec 201943
Mar 202045
Jun 202043
Sept 202041
Dec 202040
Mar 202143
Jun 202146
Sept 202157
Dec 202168
Mar 202274
Jun 202276
Sept 202280
Dec 202275
Mar 202370
Jun 2023118
Sept 2023103
Dec 2023109
Mar 2024130
Jun 2024160
Sept 2024176
Dec 2024194
Mar 2025199
Jun 2025218
Sept 2025227
Dec 2025229

Trend

+2Latest quarter change
+226Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation239
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
239
Homes for Ukraine
182
Afghan programme
19
Resettlement cumulative
107

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine182
Afghan programme19
Resettlement cumulative107

Population context

All pathways total440
Share of local population0.36%

Ethnic composition projection

Chorley: White British 92.9% (2021) to 85.9% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Chorley

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 82% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Asian 3% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Chorley

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
91%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
86%
2061proj
82%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Chorley ranges from55.8% to 78.5%by 2051. That is a 22.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 63.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.5% (2021) → 1.5% (2051). Christian 64.8% → 15.3%.

Religion: Chorley

1029496887%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 82% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.2). 97.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Chorley

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 71% in 2051Foreign-born 29% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.8% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
white other11.9% internal, 1.9% international
black9.9% internal, 3.7% international
other11.4% internal, 1.4% international
mixed12.5% internal, 0.1% international
asian8.8% internal, 2.3% international
white british7.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Chorley is changing

-2.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Chorley on UK Demographics →