asylumstatsFollow the money
Yorkshire and The Humber

Doncaster

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sally Jameson
Sally JamesonLabour (Co-op) · Doncaster Central

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Doncaster.

538 people on asylum support in Doncaster

Rank 55 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.66 per 10,000 puts Doncaster in the 75th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 26 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 56 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 538 people at £107 per person per day is about £21.0M a year.

What asylum costs Doncaster

£12.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.4Msubsistence payments/year
£646KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 538 people on asylum support in Doncaster(0.58% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Doncaster: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

658
7755172580Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014204
Jun 2014226
Sept 2014217
Dec 2014231
Mar 2015228
Jun 2015220
Sept 2015260
Dec 2015261
Mar 2016269
Jun 2016274
Sept 2016315
Dec 2016313
Mar 2017304
Jun 2017302
Sept 2017309
Dec 2017328
Mar 2018360
Jun 2018355
Sept 2018351
Dec 2018365
Mar 2019383
Jun 2019379
Sept 2019372
Dec 2019342
Mar 2020301
Jun 2020297
Sept 2020300
Dec 2020289
Mar 2021278
Jun 2021273
Sept 2021272
Dec 2021362
Mar 2022417
Jun 2022447
Sept 2022520
Dec 2022498
Mar 2023649
Jun 2023703
Sept 2023775
Dec 2023690
Mar 2024668
Jun 2024688
Sept 2024691
Dec 2024676
Mar 2025667
Jun 2025682
Sept 2025665
Dec 2025658

Trend

-7Latest quarter change
+454Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation456
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only26
Contingency accommodation56

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
538
Homes for Ukraine
376
Afghan programme
288
Resettlement cumulative
23

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine376
Afghan programme288
Resettlement cumulative23

Population context

All pathways total1,202
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Doncaster: White British 86.6% (2021) to 64.0% (2051). 80% CI: 63.3, 68.5%.

Ethnic composition: Doncaster

024487397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 53% in 2061White Other 20% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 8% in 2061Other 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Doncaster

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
87%
2031proj
81%
9%
2041proj
73%
13%
2051proj
64%
17%
2061proj
53%
20%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Doncaster ranges from64.6% to 75.1%by 2051. That is a 10.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 68.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.4% (2021) → 2.7% (2051). Christian 53.8% → 11.2%.

Religion: Doncaster

627476888%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 83% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.32). 92.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Doncaster

528507295%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.9% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
white other14.6% internal, 3.5% international
black12.2% internal, 1.8% international
other10.5% internal, 3.1% international
mixed11.4% internal, 0.7% international
asian8.7% internal, 1.9% international
white british7.2% internal, 0.1% international

Why Doncaster is changing

-5.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.9pp
Local migration
+2.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Doncaster on UK Demographics →