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London

Enfield

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Feryal Clark
Feryal ClarkLabour · Enfield North
353 people on asylum support in Enfield

Rank 89 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.72 per 10,000 puts Enfield in the 62nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 162 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 353 people at £107 per person per day is about £13.8M a year.

What asylum costs Enfield

£8.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£903Ksubsistence payments/year
£424KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 353 people on asylum support in Enfield(0.38% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Enfield: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

390
5193461730Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014172
Jun 2014183
Sept 2014187
Dec 2014191
Mar 2015184
Jun 2015201
Sept 2015179
Dec 2015160
Mar 2016136
Jun 2016154
Sept 2016170
Dec 2016187
Mar 2017218
Jun 2017217
Sept 2017222
Dec 2017212
Mar 2018239
Jun 2018236
Sept 2018233
Dec 2018225
Mar 2019237
Jun 2019244
Sept 2019275
Dec 2019290
Mar 2020357
Jun 2020386
Sept 2020415
Dec 2020418
Mar 2021415
Jun 2021431
Sept 2021424
Dec 2021422
Mar 2022410
Jun 2022408
Sept 2022418
Dec 2022410
Mar 2023399
Jun 2023519
Sept 2023473
Dec 2023285
Mar 2024308
Jun 2024232
Sept 2024255
Dec 2024243
Mar 2025393
Jun 2025388
Sept 2025396
Dec 2025390

Trend

-6Latest quarter change
+218Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation191
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only162
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
353
Homes for Ukraine
773
Afghan programme
109
Resettlement cumulative
14

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine773
Afghan programme109
Resettlement cumulative14

Population context

All pathways total1,235
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Shown to 2041 rather than 2061. Past that point the model puts a residual Census category above a quarter of the population and several times its 2021 share, which is unconstrained compounding rather than a forecast, so those years are withheld.

Enfield: White British 31.3% (2021), projected to 2041.

Ethnic composition: Enfield

011233445% of populationCensus 2021White British 16% in 2041White Other 18% in 2041Asian 11% in 2041Black 19% in 2041Mixed 8% in 2041Other 29% in 20412011202120312041
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Enfield

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
40%
21%
11%
20%
2021
31%
21%
12%
18%
12%
2031proj
23%
20%
11%
19%
20%
2041proj
16%
18%
11%
19%
29%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Enfield ranges from18.4% to 20.4%by 2051. That is a 2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 19.2% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 20.0% (2021) → 15.3% (2051). Christian 49.9% → 17.7%.

Religion: Enfield

014274155%Census 2021Christian 18% in 2051No religion 24% in 2051Muslim 15% in 2051Hindu 1% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

40.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.93). 76.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Enfield

1935506581%Census 2021UK-born 24% in 2051Foreign-born 76% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.6% moved within UK, 0.9% arrived from abroad
white other9.7% internal, 1.7% international
mixed9.4% internal, 0.8% international
other8.1% internal, 1% international
asian7% internal, 1.3% international
black7.6% internal, 0.7% international
white british5.8% internal, 0.3% international

Why Enfield is changing

-9.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+3.2pp
Local migration
-6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Enfield on UK Demographics →