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Greenwich

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Matthew Pennycook
Matthew PennycookLabour · Greenwich and Woolwich
153 people on asylum support in Greenwich

Rank 153 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 5.08 per 10,000 puts Greenwich in the 44th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 33 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 153 people at £107 per person per day is about £6.0M a year.

What asylum costs Greenwich

£3.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£391Ksubsistence payments/year
£184KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 153 people on asylum support in Greenwich(0.16% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Greenwich: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

144
7004672330Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201469
Jun 201477
Sept 201483
Dec 201489
Mar 201598
Jun 201583
Sept 201576
Dec 201584
Mar 201696
Jun 2016134
Sept 2016132
Dec 2016142
Mar 2017145
Jun 2017131
Sept 2017155
Dec 2017162
Mar 2018216
Jun 2018202
Sept 2018210
Dec 2018202
Mar 2019225
Jun 2019247
Sept 2019233
Dec 2019229
Mar 2020244
Jun 2020262
Sept 2020262
Dec 2020284
Mar 2021275
Jun 2021268
Sept 2021275
Dec 2021410
Mar 2022313
Jun 2022271
Sept 2022312
Dec 2022700
Mar 2023568
Jun 2023499
Sept 2023495
Dec 2023400
Mar 2024299
Jun 2024155
Sept 2024161
Dec 2024142
Mar 2025154
Jun 2025138
Sept 2025128
Dec 2025144

Trend

+16Latest quarter change
+75Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation120
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only33
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
153
Homes for Ukraine
1,443
Afghan programme
103
Resettlement cumulative
81

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,443
Afghan programme103
Resettlement cumulative81

Population context

All pathways total1,699
Share of local population0.56%

Ethnic composition projection

Greenwich: White British 41.4% (2021) to 18.8% (2051). 80% CI: 17.6, 21.4%.

Ethnic composition: Greenwich

014294357% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 14% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 13% in 2061Black 27% in 2061Mixed 16% in 2061Other 17% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Greenwich

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
52%
10%
12%
22%
2021
41%
14%
13%
21%
2031proj
33%
16%
14%
23%
2041proj
25%
16%
14%
25%
10%
9%
2051proj
19%
15%
14%
26%
13%
13%
2061proj
14%
14%
13%
27%
16%
17%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Greenwich ranges from25.8% to 29.1%by 2051. That is a 3.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 27.2% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 9.1% (2021) → 13.8% (2051). Christian 47.8% → 22.0%.

Religion: Greenwich

015304560%Census 2021Christian 22% in 2051No religion 55% in 2051Muslim 14% in 2051Hindu 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

37.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.86). 81.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Greenwich

2136506479%Census 2021UK-born 26% in 2051Foreign-born 74% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.1% moved within UK, 1.4% arrived from abroad
white other15.6% internal, 2.9% international
other11.4% internal, 2.9% international
asian10.1% internal, 3% international
mixed11.5% internal, 1% international
black8.6% internal, 1.2% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.3% international

Why Greenwich is changing

-10.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+2.2pp
Local migration
-6.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Greenwich on UK Demographics →