Trend
-17 Latest quarter change
+538 Change across series
48 Official data points
Hackney
Ms Diane Abbott
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Hackney.
458 people housed on asylum support in Hackney
Rank 68 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 17.17 per 10,000 puts Hackney in the 74th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 404 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £25M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Hackney
£9.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.2Msubsistence payments/year
£550KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 458 people on asylum support in Hackney (0.43% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Hackney: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 28
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 26
Contingency accommodation 404
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 560
Afghan programme 39
Resettlement cumulative 35
Population context
All pathways total 1,057
Share of local population 0.4%
Ethnic composition projection
Hackney: WBI 33.9% (2021) → 26.7% (2051). 80% CI: 20.1–24.7%.
Ethnic composition: Hackney
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Hackney
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Hackney ranges from 23.8% to 26.9% by 2051. That is a 3.1pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 25.1% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 14.6% (2021) → 7.3% (2051). Christian 33.6% → 9.8%.
Religion: Hackney
Christian No religion Muslim
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
39.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.92). 80.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Hackney
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Census 2021 mobility: 13.3% moved within UK, 1.6% arrived from abroad
white other 19.7% internal, 3.7% international
mixed 15.7% internal, 1.7% international
white british 16.4% internal, 0.7% international
asian 9.3% internal, 2.2% international
other 8.7% internal, 1.5% international
black 5.6% internal, 0.7% international
Why Hackney is changing
-2.2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Hackney on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 68%
Mixed 73.3%
White Other 79.4%
Other 54.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 29.2%
Mixed 21.6%
White Other 26%
Other 15.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 51.3%
Mixed 54.2%
White Other 63.1%
Other 32.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 32,021 pupils. 18% White British. Schools are 15.9pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Black 31.1%
White Other 18.5%
White British 18%
Mixed 14%
Asian 11.7%
Other 6.7%
What this means
Schools are 16pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
82% Minority pupils now
80.9% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
17.9% Primary WBI
18.4% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at +0.29pp/year. WBI share stable or increasing in schools.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 31.2% vs school 18% (-13.2pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
458 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
17.17 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
404 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.