Halton
Rank 51 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 45.79 per 10,000 puts Halton in the 98th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 604 people at £107 per person per day is about £23.6M a year.
What asylum costs Halton
Estimates based on 604 people on asylum support in Halton(0.65% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
Halton: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Dec 2014 | 2 |
| Mar 2015 | 2 |
| Jun 2015 | 2 |
| Sept 2015 | 2 |
| Dec 2015 | 2 |
| Mar 2016 | 2 |
| Jun 2016 | 2 |
| Sept 2016 | 2 |
| Dec 2016 | 2 |
| Mar 2017 | 2 |
| Jun 2017 | 4 |
| Dec 2018 | 4 |
| Mar 2019 | 17 |
| Jun 2019 | 44 |
| Sept 2019 | 94 |
| Dec 2019 | 145 |
| Mar 2020 | 199 |
| Jun 2020 | 212 |
| Sept 2020 | 228 |
| Dec 2020 | 225 |
| Mar 2021 | 244 |
| Jun 2021 | 282 |
| Sept 2021 | 318 |
| Dec 2021 | 464 |
| Mar 2022 | 458 |
| Jun 2022 | 513 |
| Sept 2022 | 562 |
| Dec 2022 | 868 |
| Mar 2023 | 876 |
| Jun 2023 | 952 |
| Sept 2023 | 979 |
| Dec 2023 | 827 |
| Mar 2024 | 769 |
| Jun 2024 | 788 |
| Sept 2024 | 988 |
| Dec 2024 | 908 |
| Mar 2025 | 867 |
| Jun 2025 | 607 |
| Sept 2025 | 590 |
| Dec 2025 | 601 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Population context
Ethnic composition projection
Halton: White British 93.6% (2021) to 84.3% (2051). 80% CI: 84, 86.9%.
Ethnic composition: Halton
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Halton
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Halton ranges from59.3% to 80.8%by 2051. That is a 21.5pp spread.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 4.4% (2051). Christian 61.4% → 10.1%.
Religion: Halton
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
4.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.18). 97.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Halton
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 6.8% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
Why Halton is changing
-2.8ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
Homeownership rate
Degree+ qualification rate
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 18,192 pupils. 89.9% White British.
Pupil ethnicity
What this means
School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.
Demographic pipeline
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.61pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Compared with Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 92.8% vs school 89.9% (-2.9pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
National distribution.
Per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.