North West

Halton

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Bobby Dean
Bobby DeanLiberal Democrats · Carshalton and Wallington
604 people on asylum support in Halton

Rank 51 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 45.79 per 10,000 puts Halton in the 98th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 604 people at £107 per person per day is about £23.6M a year.

What asylum costs Halton

£13.6Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.5Msubsistence payments/year
£725KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 604 people on asylum support in Halton(0.65% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Halton: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

601
9886593290Dec 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20142
Mar 20152
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20162
Sept 20162
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20174
Dec 20184
Mar 201917
Jun 201944
Sept 201994
Dec 2019145
Mar 2020199
Jun 2020212
Sept 2020228
Dec 2020225
Mar 2021244
Jun 2021282
Sept 2021318
Dec 2021464
Mar 2022458
Jun 2022513
Sept 2022562
Dec 2022868
Mar 2023876
Jun 2023952
Sept 2023979
Dec 2023827
Mar 2024769
Jun 2024788
Sept 2024988
Dec 2024908
Mar 2025867
Jun 2025607
Sept 2025590
Dec 2025601

Trend

+11Latest quarter change
+599Change across series
40Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation599
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
604
Homes for Ukraine
101
Afghan programme
0
Resettlement cumulative
169

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine101
Afghan programme0
Resettlement cumulative169

Population context

All pathways total705
Share of local population0.53%

Ethnic composition projection

Halton: White British 93.6% (2021) to 84.3% (2051). 80% CI: 84, 86.9%.

Ethnic composition: Halton

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 78% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Mixed 5% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Halton

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
92%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
84%
2061proj
78%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Halton ranges from59.3% to 80.8%by 2051. That is a 21.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 67.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 4.4% (2051). Christian 61.4% → 10.1%.

Religion: Halton

022456790%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 85% in 2051Muslim 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.18). 97.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Halton

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 71% in 2051Foreign-born 29% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.8% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
other11.4% internal, 12.3% international
black12.3% internal, 9.2% international
white other12.2% internal, 3.1% international
asian11.9% internal, 3.3% international
mixed11.6% internal, 1.3% international
white british6.4% internal, 0.1% international

Why Halton is changing

-2.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+4.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).