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London

Hammersmith and Fulham

Updated 31 Dec 2025 · Home Office
Ben Coleman
Ben Coleman Labour · Chelsea and Fulham

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Hammersmith and Fulham.

286 people housed on asylum support in Hammersmith and Fulham

Rank 109 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 15.16 per 10,000 puts Hammersmith and Fulham in the 70th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 248 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £16M per year for this area alone.

What asylum costs Hammersmith and Fulham

£5.6Mestimated hotel costs/year
£731Ksubsistence payments/year
£343KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 286 people on asylum support in Hammersmith and Fulham (0.27% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.

Hammersmith and Fulham: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

364
456 304 152 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Sept 2023 Rwanda scheme Albania deal Bibby Stockholm Rwanda scrapped

Trend

-41 Latest quarter change
+340 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 12
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 26
Contingency accommodation 248

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
286
Homes for Ukraine
942
Afghan programme
177
Resettlement cumulative
45

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 942
Afghan programme 177
Resettlement cumulative 45

Population context

All pathways total 1,405
Share of local population 0.74%

Ethnic composition projection

Hammersmith and Fulham: WBI 38.3% (2021) → 20.1% (2051). 80% CI: 14.2–19.3%.

Ethnic composition: Hammersmith and Fulham

0 12 25 37 50 % of population Census 2021 Illustrative White British 15% White Other 21% Asian 12% Black 12% Mixed 15% Other 24% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Hammersmith and Fulham

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
45%
23%
9%
14%
2021
38%
25%
11%
12%
2031 proj
32%
25%
11%
13%
9%
10%
2041 proj
26%
25%
12%
13%
11%
14%
2051 proj
20%
24%
12%
13%
13%
18%
2061 proj
15%
21%
12%
12%
15%
24%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Hammersmith and Fulham ranges from 24.3% to 28.6% by 2051. That is a 4.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 26.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 12.7% (2021) → 15.8% (2051). Christian 49.9% → 23.7%.

Religion: Hammersmith and Fulham

8 21 34 48 61 % Census 2021 Christian 24% No religion 56% Muslim 16% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

45.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.88). 78.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Hammersmith and Fulham

16 33 50 67 84 % Census 2021 UK-born 21% Foreign-born 79% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 16% moved within UK, 2.7% arrived from abroad
white other 20.5% internal, 4.8% international
asian 16.5% internal, 5.4% international
mixed 15.1% internal, 2.4% international
white british 16.5% internal, 1% international
other 13.3% internal, 3.8% international
black 7% internal, 1% international

Why Hammersmith and Fulham is changing

-6.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+2.8pp
Local migration
-3.1pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profile School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics. View Hammersmith and Fulham on UK Demographics →