asylumstatsFollow the money
London

Hillingdon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
1,188 people on asylum support in Hillingdon

Rank 13 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 36.37 per 10,000 puts Hillingdon in the 94th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. 85 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 965 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 1,188 people at £107 per person per day is about £46.4M a year.

What asylum costs Hillingdon

£26.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£3.0Msubsistence payments/year
£1.4MLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1,188 people on asylum support in Hillingdon(1.27% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Hillingdon: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2,133
3,0762,0511,0250Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014145
Jun 2014146
Sept 2014142
Dec 2014140
Mar 2015151
Jun 2015154
Sept 2015145
Dec 2015149
Mar 2016137
Jun 2016210
Sept 2016251
Dec 2016283
Mar 2017275
Jun 2017240
Sept 2017249
Dec 2017302
Mar 2018409
Jun 2018445
Sept 2018460
Dec 2018521
Mar 2019578
Jun 2019536
Sept 2019556
Dec 2019567
Mar 2020595
Jun 2020611
Sept 2020614
Dec 2020613
Mar 2021604
Jun 2021595
Sept 2021587
Dec 2021850
Mar 2022725
Jun 2022910
Sept 2022750
Dec 20222,930
Mar 20233,076
Jun 20232,774
Sept 20232,597
Dec 20232,621
Mar 20242,384
Jun 20242,086
Sept 20242,719
Dec 20243,010
Mar 20252,946
Jun 20252,481
Sept 20252,345
Dec 20252,133

Trend

-212Latest quarter change
+1,988Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation138
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only85
Contingency accommodation965

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1,188
Homes for Ukraine
774
Afghan programme
182
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine774
Afghan programme182
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total2,144
Share of local population0.66%

Ethnic composition projection

Hillingdon: White British 37.1% (2021) to 9.1% (2051). 80% CI: 8.5, 10.3%.

Ethnic composition: Hillingdon

014294357% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 5% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Asian 49% in 2061Black 8% in 2061Mixed 7% in 2061Other 21% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Hillingdon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
52%
8%
25%
9%
2021
37%
11%
33%
2031proj
25%
12%
40%
8%
9%
2041proj
16%
12%
44%
9%
13%
2051proj
9%
12%
48%
8%
17%
2061proj
10%
49%
21%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Hillingdon ranges from22.1% to 24.9%by 2051. That is a 2.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 23.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 15.3% (2021) → 27.2% (2051). Christian 41.4% → 14.7%.

Religion: Hillingdon

415253646%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 22% in 2051Muslim 27% in 2051Hindu 20% in 2051Sikh 14% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

38.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.83). 77.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Hillingdon

2135506579%Census 2021UK-born 26% in 2051Foreign-born 74% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.9% moved within UK, 1.4% arrived from abroad
white other13.2% internal, 2.6% international
other10.9% internal, 2.2% international
mixed10.6% internal, 1.4% international
asian9.5% internal, 2.1% international
black9.5% internal, 1.5% international
white british6.3% internal, 0.3% international

Why Hillingdon is changing

-15.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+2.2pp
Local migration
-11pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Hillingdon on UK Demographics →