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Hounslow

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
1,139 people on asylum support in Hounslow

Rank 14 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 38.03 per 10,000 puts Hounslow in the 95th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. 73 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 924 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 1,139 people at £107 per person per day is about £44.5M a year.

What asylum costs Hounslow

£25.7Mestimated hotel costs/year
£2.9Msubsistence payments/year
£1.4MLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1,139 people on asylum support in Hounslow(1.22% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Hounslow: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1,720
2,3101,5407700Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201461
Jun 201458
Sept 201451
Dec 201468
Mar 201575
Jun 201578
Sept 201593
Dec 201582
Mar 201674
Jun 201678
Sept 201680
Dec 201689
Mar 2017116
Jun 2017127
Sept 2017176
Dec 2017183
Mar 2018248
Jun 2018274
Sept 2018318
Dec 2018334
Mar 2019422
Jun 2019420
Sept 2019424
Dec 2019412
Mar 2020454
Jun 2020461
Sept 2020470
Dec 2020477
Mar 2021589
Jun 2021580
Sept 2021573
Dec 2021710
Mar 2022699
Jun 20221,268
Sept 2022804
Dec 20222,310
Mar 20232,302
Jun 20232,144
Sept 20232,144
Dec 20232,058
Mar 20241,816
Jun 20241,607
Sept 20241,900
Dec 20242,127
Mar 20252,097
Jun 20251,775
Sept 20252,078
Dec 20251,720

Trend

-358Latest quarter change
+1,659Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation142
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only73
Contingency accommodation924

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1,139
Homes for Ukraine
1,332
Afghan programme
259
Resettlement cumulative
37

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,332
Afghan programme259
Resettlement cumulative37

Population context

All pathways total2,730
Share of local population0.91%

Ethnic composition projection

Shown to 2051 rather than 2061. Past that point the model puts a residual Census category above a quarter of the population and several times its 2021 share, which is unconstrained compounding rather than a forecast, so those years are withheld.

Hounslow: White British 28.4% (2021) to 10.2% (2051). 80% CI: 9.5, 11.5%.

Ethnic composition: Hounslow

011223343% of populationCensus 2021White British 10% in 2051White Other 14% in 2051Asian 37% in 2051Black 9% in 2051Mixed 8% in 2051Other 20% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Hounslow

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
38%
13%
34%
8%
2021
28%
16%
37%
2031proj
21%
16%
38%
8%
11%
2041proj
15%
16%
38%
9%
15%
2051proj
10%
14%
37%
9%
8%
20%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Hounslow ranges from17.5% to 19.6%by 2051. That is a 2.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 18.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 17.7% (2021) → 26.7% (2051). Christian 40.7% → 27.7%.

Religion: Hounslow

213243546%Census 2021Christian 28% in 2051No religion 28% in 2051Muslim 27% in 2051Hindu 7% in 2051Sikh 7% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

49.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.86). 71.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Hounslow

1332506887%Census 2021UK-born 18% in 2051Foreign-born 82% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 1.8% arrived from abroad
white other14.3% internal, 2.3% international
other9.6% internal, 2.9% international
asian9.3% internal, 2.7% international
mixed9.6% internal, 1.2% international
black7.6% internal, 1.3% international
white british7.4% internal, 0.4% international

Why Hounslow is changing

-9.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+3.4pp
Local migration
-6.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Hounslow on UK Demographics →