Trend
-619 Latest quarter change
+24 Change across series
48 Official data points
Islington
Jeremy Corbyn
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Islington.
56 people housed on asylum support in Islington
Rank 223 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.51 per 10,000 puts Islington in the 29th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £3M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Islington
£1.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£143Ksubsistence payments/year
£67KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 56 people on asylum support in Islington (0.05% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Islington: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 26
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 30
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 665
Afghan programme 597
Resettlement cumulative 167
Population context
All pathways total 1,318
Share of local population 0.59%
Ethnic composition projection
Islington: WBI 39.8% (2021) → 15.8% (2051). 80% CI: 13.4–17.8%.
Ethnic composition: Islington
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Islington
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Islington ranges from 25.4% to 29.4% by 2051. That is a 3.9pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 27.0% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 12.9% (2021) → 13.1% (2051). Christian 37.6% → 12.2%.
Religion: Islington
Christian No religion Muslim
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
39.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.88). 81% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Islington
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Census 2021 mobility: 15.8% moved within UK, 2.7% arrived from abroad
white other 20.9% internal, 5.2% international
asian 15.2% internal, 6.7% international
mixed 16.1% internal, 2.3% international
white british 15.9% internal, 0.9% international
other 12.6% internal, 3% international
black 8.5% internal, 1% international
Why Islington is changing
-8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Islington on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 65.5%
Mixed 69.4%
White Other 77%
Other 58.7%
Homeownership rate
White British 30.9%
Mixed 21.1%
White Other 26.2%
Other 16.4%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 54.3%
Mixed 53.3%
White Other 67.1%
Other 43.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 22,766 pupils. 25.2% White British. Schools are 14.6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 25.2%
Black 23.1%
Mixed 18.8%
White Other 16.2%
Asian 8.7%
Other 8%
What this means
Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
74.8% Minority pupils now
82.6% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
25.4% Primary WBI
24.5% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.53pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 33.8% vs school 25.2% (-8.6pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
56 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
2.51 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.