London

Islington

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Jeremy Corbyn
Jeremy CorbynIndependent · Islington North

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Islington.

66 people on asylum support in Islington

Rank 215 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.94 per 10,000 puts Islington in the 33rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 31 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 1 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 66 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.6M a year.

What asylum costs Islington

£1.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£169Ksubsistence payments/year
£79KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 66 people on asylum support in Islington(0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Islington: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

47
9776513260Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201423
Jun 201425
Sept 201430
Dec 201434
Mar 201535
Jun 201534
Sept 201532
Dec 201526
Mar 201629
Jun 201629
Sept 201632
Dec 201628
Mar 201722
Jun 201726
Sept 201727
Dec 201728
Mar 201832
Jun 201823
Sept 201825
Dec 201822
Mar 201925
Jun 201933
Sept 201928
Dec 201931
Mar 202029
Jun 202030
Sept 202035
Dec 202047
Mar 202153
Jun 202178
Sept 202174
Dec 2021166
Mar 2022110
Jun 2022282
Sept 2022152
Dec 2022905
Mar 2023879
Jun 2023977
Sept 2023863
Dec 2023743
Mar 2024823
Jun 2024669
Sept 2024887
Dec 2024816
Mar 2025678
Jun 2025614
Sept 2025666
Dec 202547

Trend

-619Latest quarter change
+24Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation34
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only31
Contingency accommodation1

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
66
Homes for Ukraine
694
Afghan programme
611
Resettlement cumulative
195

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine694
Afghan programme611
Resettlement cumulative195

Population context

All pathways total1,371
Share of local population0.61%

Ethnic composition projection

Shown to 2041 rather than 2061. Past that point the model puts a residual Census category above a quarter of the population and several times its 2021 share, which is unconstrained compounding rather than a forecast, so those years are withheld.

Islington: White British 39.8% (2021), projected to 2041.

Ethnic composition: Islington

013264053% of populationCensus 2021White British 25% in 2041White Other 17% in 2041Asian 10% in 2041Black 19% in 2041Mixed 11% in 2041Other 18% in 20412011202120312041
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Islington

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
48%
20%
9%
16%
2021
40%
22%
10%
13%
2031proj
32%
20%
10%
16%
9%
12%
2041proj
25%
17%
10%
19%
11%
18%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Islington ranges from25.4% to 29.4%by 2051. That is a 3.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 27.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 12.9% (2021) → 13.1% (2051). Christian 37.6% → 12.2%.

Religion: Islington

721344861%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 56% in 2051Muslim 13% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

39.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.88). 81% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Islington

2035506580%Census 2021UK-born 25% in 2051Foreign-born 75% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 15.8% moved within UK, 2.7% arrived from abroad
white other20.9% internal, 5.2% international
asian15.2% internal, 6.7% international
mixed16.1% internal, 2.3% international
white british15.9% internal, 0.9% international
other12.6% internal, 3% international
black8.5% internal, 1% international

Why Islington is changing

-8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+2.6pp
Local migration
-4.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).