asylumstatsFollow the money
Yorkshire and The Humber

Kingston upon Hull, City of

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Karl Turner
Karl TurnerIndependent · Kingston upon Hull East

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Kingston upon Hull, City of.

522 people on asylum support in Kingston upon Hull, City of

Rank 57 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 19.1 per 10,000 puts Kingston upon Hull, City of in the 80th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2061. 20 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 116 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 522 people at £107 per person per day is about £20.4M a year.

What asylum costs Kingston upon Hull, City of

£11.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.3Msubsistence payments/year
£626KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 522 people on asylum support in Kingston upon Hull, City of(0.56% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Kingston upon Hull, City of: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

766
4,7773,1851,5920Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014231
Jun 2014257
Sept 2014275
Dec 2014266
Mar 2015281
Jun 2015261
Sept 2015260
Dec 2015269
Mar 2016298
Jun 2016339
Sept 2016356
Dec 2016358
Mar 2017377
Jun 2017396
Sept 2017394
Dec 2017420
Mar 2018495
Jun 2018491
Sept 2018509
Dec 2018530
Mar 2019523
Jun 2019504
Sept 2019490
Dec 2019514
Mar 2020526
Jun 2020531
Sept 2020536
Dec 2020518
Mar 2021536
Jun 2021564
Sept 2021531
Dec 2021607
Mar 2022646
Jun 2022659
Sept 2022709
Dec 20224,777
Mar 2023950
Jun 2023960
Sept 2023982
Dec 2023795
Mar 2024790
Jun 2024946
Sept 2024990
Dec 2024955
Mar 2025915
Jun 2025787
Sept 2025777
Dec 2025766

Trend

-11Latest quarter change
+535Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation386
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only20
Contingency accommodation116

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
522
Homes for Ukraine
342
Afghan programme
156
Resettlement cumulative
185

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine342
Afghan programme156
Resettlement cumulative185

Population context

All pathways total1,020
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Kingston upon Hull, City of: White British 83.9% (2021) to 59.9% (2051). White British minority by ~2061. 80% CI: 57.9, 64.2%.

Ethnic composition: Kingston upon Hull, City of

024477195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 50% in 2061White Other 20% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Black 7% in 2061Mixed 5% in 2061Other 14% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Kingston upon Hull, City of

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
84%
2031proj
77%
11%
2041proj
69%
15%
2051proj
60%
18%
9%
2061proj
50%
20%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Kingston upon Hull, City of ranges from61.3% to 71.7%by 2051. That is a 10.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 65.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.7% (2021) → 8.9% (2051). Christian 42.5% → 8.9%.

Religion: Kingston upon Hull, City of

022436586%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 81% in 2051Muslim 9% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

13.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.37). 90% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Kingston upon Hull, City of

829507192%Census 2021UK-born 59% in 2051Foreign-born 41% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
asian13.8% internal, 5.4% international
black15% internal, 3.6% international
other14.3% internal, 3.8% international
white other13.7% internal, 4% international
mixed13.4% internal, 1.2% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Kingston upon Hull, City of is changing

-5.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+1.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Kingston upon Hull, City of on UK Demographics →