Trend
-26 Latest quarter change
+465 Change across series
48 Official data points
Kirklees
707 people housed on asylum support in Kirklees
Rank 34 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 15.79 per 10,000 puts Kirklees in the 70th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2043. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £39M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Kirklees
£13.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.8Msubsistence payments/year
£848KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 707 people on asylum support in Kirklees (0.66% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Kirklees: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 685
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 22
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 560
Afghan programme 192
Resettlement cumulative 171
Population context
All pathways total 1,459
Share of local population 0.33%
Ethnic composition projection
Kirklees: WBI 70.5% (2021) → 37.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2043. 80% CI: 41.1–44.9%.
Ethnic composition: Kirklees
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Kirklees
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Kirklees ranges from 49.8% to 55.9% by 2051. That is a 6.1pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.4% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 19.6% (2021) → 23.3% (2051). Christian 41.7% → 9.6%.
Religion: Kirklees
Christian No religion Muslim
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
12.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.52). 92.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Kirklees
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 7.5% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
other 10.2% internal, 4.7% international
black 9.1% internal, 4% international
white other 10.3% internal, 2.4% international
mixed 9.9% internal, 0.5% international
white british 7.7% internal, 0.2% international
asian 5.5% internal, 1.3% international
Why Kirklees is changing
-6.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Kirklees on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58%
Mixed 65.5%
White Other 67.8%
Other 51.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 67.7%
Mixed 36.7%
White Other 42.9%
Other 33%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 29.6%
Mixed 29.3%
White Other 37.2%
Other 32.9%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 65,313 pupils. 53.7% White British. Schools are 16.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 53.7%
Asian 29.4%
Mixed 8.2%
Black 3.7%
White Other 3.4%
Other 1.7%
What this means
Schools are 17pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
46.3% Minority pupils now
54.6% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
52.8% Primary WBI
54.9% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.82pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 58.3% vs school 53.7% (-4.6pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
707 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
15.79 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.