Trend
+8 Latest quarter change
+317 Change across series
46 Official data points
Knowsley
Anneliese Midgley
312 people housed on asylum support in Knowsley
Rank 101 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 19.19 per 10,000 puts Knowsley in the 79th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £17M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Knowsley
£6.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£798Ksubsistence payments/year
£374KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 312 people on asylum support in Knowsley (0.29% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Knowsley: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 309
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 191
Afghan programme 20
Resettlement cumulative 96
Population context
All pathways total 523
Share of local population 0.32%
Ethnic composition projection
Knowsley: WBI 92.4% (2021) → 73.3% (2051). 80% CI: 75.8–79.3%.
Ethnic composition: Knowsley
White British White Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Knowsley
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Knowsley ranges from 62.1% to 80.7% by 2051. That is a 18.6pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 69.1% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.6% (2051). Christian 70.0% → 11.8%.
Religion: Knowsley
Christian No religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
5.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Knowsley
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 6.5% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black 14.5% internal, 7.2% international
other 17.8% internal, 3.9% international
asian 15.4% internal, 4.5% international
white other 15% internal, 3.1% international
mixed 9.7% internal, 1.3% international
white british 5.9% internal, 0.1% international
Why Knowsley is changing
-3.7ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Knowsley on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.9%
Mixed 65.1%
White Other 76.2%
Other 57.4%
Homeownership rate
White British 60.8%
Mixed 49.7%
White Other 50.8%
Other 48.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.1%
Mixed 31.8%
White Other 40.6%
Other 37.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 21,576 pupils. 86.1% White British. Schools are 6.3pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 86.1%
White Other 4%
Mixed 3.3%
Asian 3%
Black 2.3%
Other 1.3%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
13.9% Minority pupils now
25.2% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
84.7% Primary WBI
88.3% Secondary WBI
Accelerating diversification. Primary schools are significantly more diverse than secondary.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.93pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 90.1% vs school 86.1% (-4pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
312 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
19.19 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.