asylumstatsFollow the money
North West

Knowsley

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Anneliese Midgley
Anneliese MidgleyLabour · Knowsley
309 people on asylum support in Knowsley

Rank 99 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 18.87 per 10,000 puts Knowsley in the 80th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 309 people at £107 per person per day is about £12.1M a year.

What asylum costs Knowsley

£7.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£790Ksubsistence payments/year
£371KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 309 people on asylum support in Knowsley(0.33% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Knowsley: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

320
4472981490Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20143
Jun 20143
Sept 20143
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20166
Jun 201617
Sept 201625
Dec 201649
Mar 201742
Jun 201751
Sept 201781
Dec 201771
Mar 201896
Jun 2018106
Sept 2018106
Dec 2018131
Mar 2019172
Jun 2019174
Sept 2019165
Dec 2019172
Mar 2020158
Jun 2020168
Sept 2020146
Dec 2020145
Mar 2021152
Jun 2021191
Sept 2021186
Dec 2021206
Mar 2022240
Jun 2022254
Sept 2022240
Dec 2022387
Mar 2023447
Jun 2023400
Sept 2023350
Dec 2023287
Mar 2024321
Jun 2024312
Sept 2024302
Dec 2024317
Mar 2025320
Jun 2025322
Sept 2025312
Dec 2025320

Trend

+8Latest quarter change
+317Change across series
46Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation307
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
309
Homes for Ukraine
200
Afghan programme
23
Resettlement cumulative
96

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine200
Afghan programme23
Resettlement cumulative96

Population context

All pathways total532
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Knowsley: White British 92.4% (2021) to 80.9% (2051). 80% CI: 80.6, 84.1%.

Ethnic composition: Knowsley

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 74% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 3% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Knowsley

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
86%
2051proj
81%
2061proj
74%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Knowsley ranges from62.1% to 80.7%by 2051. That is a 18.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 69.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.6% (2051). Christian 70.0% → 11.8%.

Religion: Knowsley

728497091%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Knowsley

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 70% in 2051Foreign-born 30% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.5% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black14.5% internal, 7.2% international
other17.8% internal, 3.9% international
asian15.4% internal, 4.5% international
white other15% internal, 3.1% international
mixed9.7% internal, 1.3% international
white british5.9% internal, 0.1% international

Why Knowsley is changing

-3.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Knowsley on UK Demographics →