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Lambeth

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
285 people on asylum support in Lambeth

Rank 104 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 9.07 per 10,000 puts Lambeth in the 60th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 23 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 206 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 285 people at £107 per person per day is about £11.1M a year.

What asylum costs Lambeth

£6.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£729Ksubsistence payments/year
£342KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 285 people on asylum support in Lambeth(0.31% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Lambeth: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

428
6614412200Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201456
Jun 201457
Sept 201461
Dec 201456
Mar 201544
Jun 201543
Sept 201542
Dec 201541
Mar 201628
Jun 201624
Sept 201619
Dec 201613
Mar 201712
Jun 201713
Sept 201727
Dec 201730
Mar 201829
Jun 201830
Sept 201834
Dec 201835
Mar 201939
Jun 201943
Sept 201940
Dec 201933
Mar 202040
Jun 202057
Sept 202057
Dec 202065
Mar 202168
Jun 202171
Sept 202162
Dec 2021143
Mar 2022106
Jun 2022135
Sept 2022164
Dec 2022652
Mar 2023661
Jun 2023629
Sept 2023600
Dec 2023582
Mar 2024481
Jun 2024474
Sept 2024550
Dec 2024569
Mar 2025494
Jun 2025441
Sept 2025511
Dec 2025428

Trend

-83Latest quarter change
+372Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation56
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only23
Contingency accommodation206

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
285
Homes for Ukraine
1,026
Afghan programme
108
Resettlement cumulative
125

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,026
Afghan programme108
Resettlement cumulative125

Population context

All pathways total1,419
Share of local population0.45%

Ethnic composition projection

Shown to 2041 rather than 2061. Past that point the model puts a residual Census category above a quarter of the population and several times its 2021 share, which is unconstrained compounding rather than a forecast, so those years are withheld.

Lambeth: White British 37.6% (2021), projected to 2041.

Ethnic composition: Lambeth

011223344% of populationCensus 2021White British 24% in 2041White Other 14% in 2041Asian 8% in 2041Black 26% in 2041Mixed 11% in 2041Other 17% in 20412011202120312041
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Lambeth

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
39%
18%
30%
2021
38%
17%
24%
8%
2031proj
30%
16%
26%
10%
10%
2041proj
24%
14%
8%
26%
11%
17%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Lambeth ranges from27.6% to 30.7%by 2051. That is a 3.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 28.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 8.8% (2021) → 9.4% (2051). Christian 47.3% → 18.6%.

Religion: Lambeth

421395674%Census 2021Christian 19% in 2051No religion 69% in 2051Muslim 9% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

38.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.88). 82.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Lambeth

2135506579%Census 2021UK-born 26% in 2051Foreign-born 74% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 15.4% moved within UK, 1.8% arrived from abroad
white other18.4% internal, 3.7% international
white british20.5% internal, 0.9% international
asian13.6% internal, 4.4% international
other13.9% internal, 3.2% international
mixed14.7% internal, 1.8% international
black6.3% internal, 0.8% international

Why Lambeth is changing

-1.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+3.3pp
Local migration
+1.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Lambeth on UK Demographics →